SUNDAY (3PM): sf @ ATL

GAME CHART
11-4-1 (5-3 away)	sf		@		ATL		13-3 (7-1 home)
avg DEF ppg		17.1		26.2		avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg		24.8		18.7		avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank		4th		6th		pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank		4th		29th		rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank		23rd		23rd		pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank		4th		21st		rush DEF rank
defensive formation		3-4		4-3		defensive formation
none		key injuries				none
FORECAST
N/A
STAT ALERT
-          SF QB Kaepernick had 4 TD vs GB in Divisional Round -          ATL offence 45% conversion average on 3rd downs -          ATL offence 58% conversion average in red zone -          SF defence allowed 33% opposition conversion on 3rd downs
ANALYST INSIGHT
Not only do I think the 49ers are going to win, but I’m not even sure the Falcons can keep it close…the Falcons have struggled against running quarterbacks…I look for SF QB Kaepernick to have another big game as the 49ers roll – M.D. SMITH Though the Falcons pulled out a stirring win over Seattle, the victory came in the wake of a historic defensive collapse.  It’ll be a lot harder not to collapse earlier when facing SF QB Kaepernick, who is a shade better than Russell Wilson — and who has more to work with on both sides of the ball than the Seahawks rookie – M. FLORIO San Francisco's weakness is being spread out and facing an up-tempo passing game…ATL QB Ryan will do his best, but as GB QB Aaron Rodgers' Packers, NE QB Brady's Patriots and others have found out, it keeps getting harder to keep up with SF QB Kaepernick – V. IYER Give ATL QB Matty Ice some time and he’ll beat you. He does it time and time again in the Georgia Dome – R. THE HANDLE
FINAL PREDICTION
SF		SU		vs SPR		ATL (+4.5)
The inability of the Falcons defence to prevent the rush will be the reason they lose out on a trip to Super Bowl XLVII in Louisiana this year. ATL QB Matt Ryan has been historically adept at picking apart opponents that dare challenge his Dirty Bird club when visiting the Georgia Dome. That said, the Falcons are in over their heads in this matchup, youngster QB or not at the helm of their opponent. SF has demonstrated throughout the 2012-13 Regular & Post Season their steadfast defensive unit is one of the best entities in all of football and their offensive attack is not far behind with the exuberant and ever elusive Colin Kaepernick at QB. ATL is sure to put on a show this coming Sunday afternoon. However, a show and a win are two different things altogether and the Niners are sure to demonstrate as such by 4th quarter’s end in this matchup.

	Pro*Line #	avg @road	prediction	QB	prediction	avg @home	Pro*Line #
Kaepernick	17.5	17.5			UNDER	24.3	25.5	Ryan
	Pro*Line #	avg @road	prediction	RB	prediction	avg @home	Pro*Line #
Gore	88.5	68.3	UNDER			65.9	55.5	Turner
	Pro*Line #	avg @road	prediction	WR	prediction	avg @home	Pro*Line #
Crabtree	6.5	5.1	OVER		UNDER	5.6	5.5	White
						3.9		Jones

avg sacks		prediction	SACKS (PRO*LINE #)	prediction	avg sacks
1.8		UNDER	4.5	UNDER	1.8
season total		prediction	FUMBLES (PRO*LINE #)	prediction	season total
8		UNDER	1.5	UNDER	4
season total 40+		prediction	LONG PASS (PRO*LINE #)	prediction	season total 40+
8			49.5		10
season total 20+		prediction	LONG RUSH (PRO*LINE #)	prediction	season total 20+
17		OVER	30.5	OVER	7
season total 50+	season total 40-49	prediction	LONG FGM (PRO*LINE #)	prediction	season total 40-49	season total 50+
2-6	7-13	OVER	46.5	OVER	10-13	4-4
avg yds PTR		prediction	LONG PTR (PRO*LINE #)	prediction	avg yds PTR
6.9			16.5		9.3
avg half		prediction	1ST HALF (PRO*LINE #)	prediction	avg half
12.4			24.5		13.1
avg half		prediction	2ND HALF (PRO*LINE #)	prediction	avg half
12.4			24.5		13.1