GAME CHART
|
|||||||
12-4
(6-2 away)
|
hou
|
@
|
NE
|
12-4 (6-2 home)
|
|||
avg DEF ppg
|
20.7
|
34.8
|
avg OFF ppg
|
||||
avg OFF ppg
|
26.0
|
20.7
|
avg DEF ppg
|
||||
pass DEF rank
|
16th
|
4th
|
pass OFF rank
|
||||
rush DEF rank
|
7th
|
7th
|
rush OFF rank
|
||||
pass OFF rank
|
11th
|
29th
|
pass DEF rank
|
||||
rush OFF rank
|
8th
|
9th
|
rush DEF rank
|
||||
defensive formation
|
3-4
|
4-3
|
defensive formation
|
||||
none
|
key injuries
|
none
|
|||||
FORECAST
|
|||||||
Cloudy
|
|||||||
STAT ALERT
|
|||||||
-
NE
defence forced a league-high 19 fumbles this season
-
HOU
8-0 when RB Foster rushes for 100+ yds
-
NE
offence 48% on 3rd down conversions
-
All 6
NE playoff losses during Brady-Belichick era have come against teams the club
defeated during the Regular Season
|
|||||||
ANALYST INSIGHT
|
|||||||
The only way that Houston has a chance to win here is if it can
somehow create a turnover and jump out to a big lead early. The Texans then
can utilize their powerful running game with RB Arian Foster and control the
clock. Otherwise the Pats will likely pass HOU to death yet again – D.
BILICKI
Not often do you find a 13 win team, without any significant
injuries, to be this big of an underdog – R. THE HANDLE
|
|||||||
FINAL PREDICTION
|
|||||||
NE
|
SU
|
vs
SPR
|
HOU (+9.5)
|
||||
The Texans have not forgotten how badly they were beaten by the
Pats at Foxborough no less than a month ago and are sure to be intent on not
allowing history to repeat itself in primetime. With that in mind, expect the
Brady-Belichick duo to make another bid for a Super Bowl crown with a win
this weekend at home vs a formidable, yet fundamentally flawed, foe. The HOU
secondary has simply been unable to contain opponent pass onslaughts of late
and, in spite of all their offensive fireworks, will surely succumb to the
prowess of two-time Super Bowl MVP NE QB Tom Brady in the clutch on the East
Coast this weekend. At home, in a position they are greatly accustomed to, NE
is as good a bet as they come in terms of a win.
|
|||||||
|
Pro*Line
#
|
avg @road
|
prediction
|
QB
|
prediction
|
avg @home
|
Pro*Line
#
|
|
Schaub
|
22.5
|
20.5
|
UNDER
|
|
UNDER
|
27.1
|
25.5
|
Brady
|
|
Pro*Line
#
|
avg @road
|
prediction
|
RB
|
prediction
|
avg @home
|
Pro*Line
#
|
|
Foster
|
88.5
|
93.9
|
|
|
UNDER
|
72.8
|
74.5
|
Ridley
|
|
Pro*Line
#
|
avg @road
|
prediction
|
WR
|
prediction
|
avg @home
|
Pro*Line
#
|
|
Johnson
|
7.5
|
5.5
|
|
|
6.6
|
|
Welker
|
|
Daniels
|
|
3.6
|
|
|
UNDER
|
4.7
|
5.5
|
Gronkowski
|
avg sacks
|
prediction
|
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg sacks
|
||
1.7
|
UNDER
|
4.5
|
UNDER
|
1.7
|
||
season
total
|
prediction
|
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
season
total
|
||
4
|
UNDER
|
1.5
|
UNDER
|
7
|
||
season
total
40+
|
prediction
|
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
season
total
40+
|
||
8
|
OVER
|
48.5
|
OVER
|
8
|
||
season
total
20+
|
prediction
|
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
season
total
20+
|
||
15
|
|
25.5
|
|
11
|
||
season
total
50+
|
season
total
40-49
|
prediction
|
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
season
total
40-49
|
season
total
50+
|
4-9
|
7-9
|
OVER
|
44.5
|
OVER
|
9-13
|
2-2
|
avg yds
PTR
|
prediction
|
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg yds PTR
|
||
10.1
|
|
16.5
|
|
6.7
|
||
avg half
|
prediction
|
1ST HALF
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg half
|
||
13.0
|
|
24.5
|
|
17.4
|
||
avg half
|
prediction
|
2ND HALF
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg half
|
||
13.0
|
|
24.5
|
|
17.4
|
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