Sunday 13 January 2013

SUNDAY (4PM): hou @ NE


GAME CHART
12-4 (6-2 away)
hou
@
NE
12-4 (6-2 home)
avg DEF ppg
20.7
34.8
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
26.0
20.7
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
16th
4th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
7th
7th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
11th
29th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
8th
9th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
3-4
4-3
defensive formation
none
key injuries
none
FORECAST
Cloudy
STAT ALERT
-          NE defence forced a league-high 19 fumbles this season
-          HOU 8-0 when RB Foster rushes for 100+ yds
-          NE offence 48% on 3rd down conversions
-          All 6 NE playoff losses during Brady-Belichick era have come against teams the club defeated during the Regular Season
ANALYST INSIGHT
The only way that Houston has a chance to win here is if it can somehow create a turnover and jump out to a big lead early. The Texans then can utilize their powerful running game with RB Arian Foster and control the clock. Otherwise the Pats will likely pass HOU to death yet again – D. BILICKI

Not often do you find a 13 win team, without any significant injuries, to be this big of an underdog – R. THE HANDLE
FINAL PREDICTION
NE
SU
vs SPR
HOU (+9.5)
The Texans have not forgotten how badly they were beaten by the Pats at Foxborough no less than a month ago and are sure to be intent on not allowing history to repeat itself in primetime. With that in mind, expect the Brady-Belichick duo to make another bid for a Super Bowl crown with a win this weekend at home vs a formidable, yet fundamentally flawed, foe. The HOU secondary has simply been unable to contain opponent pass onslaughts of late and, in spite of all their offensive fireworks, will surely succumb to the prowess of two-time Super Bowl MVP NE QB Tom Brady in the clutch on the East Coast this weekend. At home, in a position they are greatly accustomed to, NE is as good a bet as they come in terms of a win.









Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
QB
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Schaub
22.5
20.5
UNDER

UNDER
27.1
25.5
Brady

Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
RB
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Foster
88.5
93.9


UNDER
72.8
74.5
Ridley

Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
WR
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Johnson
7.5
5.5



6.6

Welker
Daniels

3.6


UNDER
4.7
5.5
Gronkowski


avg sacks
prediction
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg sacks
1.7
UNDER
4.5
UNDER
1.7
season total
prediction
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
4
UNDER
1.5
UNDER
7
season total
40+
prediction
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
40+
8
OVER
48.5
OVER
8
season total
20+
prediction
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
20+
15

25.5

11
season total
50+
season total
40-49
prediction
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
40-49
season total
50+
4-9
7-9
OVER
44.5
OVER
9-13
2-2
avg yds PTR
prediction
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg yds PTR
10.1

16.5

6.7
avg half
prediction
1ST HALF
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
13.0

24.5

17.4
avg half
prediction
2ND HALF
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
13.0

24.5

17.4

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