Sunday 20 January 2013

SUNDAY (6PM): bal @ NE


  GAME CHART
10-6 (4-4 away)
bal
@
NE
12-4 (6-2 home)
avg DEF ppg
21.5
34.8
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
24.9
20.7
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
17th
4th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
20th
7th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
15th
29th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
11th
9th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
3-4
4-3
defensive formation
none
key injuries
none
FORECAST
Cloudy
STAT ALERT
-          NE RB Ridley ran for just under 1300 yds this Regular Season past
-          BAL has only 8 wins in their last 18 games
-          NEs 7th AFC Championship game under Head Coach Bill Belichick; Patriots have never lost an AFC Championship game when at home
-          BAL QB Flacco’s stats last 6 playoff outings: 12 TD, 2 INT, 100+ Passer Rating
-          NE led NFL with 25+ turnover ratio for the 2012-13 Regular Season
ANALYST INSIGHT
Unfortunately for Baltimore, the Patriots’ defense is playing better now than it was early in the regular season, and that’s going to be the difference this time…NE QB Tom Brady will have another big performance against the Ravens’ secondary. The Patriots are headed back to the Super Bowl – M.D. SMITH

Much of the playoff attention on Baltimore has been on the impending retirement of Ray Lewis. But it's been a whole lot of other players, led by BAL QB Flacco and RB Rice, paving the way for their surprising run. They have at least one more upset in them – V. IYER

The Ravens are hurting on defence, traveling for the third time in four weeks while having exerted a maximum effort in last Sunday’s effort overtime win over DEN…there is just too much firepower provided from NE QB Brady and the Hoodie to be denied another trip to football’s biggest stage – R. THE HANDLE
FINAL PREDICTION
NE
SU
vs SPR
BAL (+8.5)
The legend of NE QB Tom Brady with grow ever greater will a victory over the Baltimore Ravens this coming Sunday evening in Foxborough, Massachusetts. The Pats will take a beating from the Ravens in this matchup, no doubt. With their secondary all but shredded every time they take the field, the hand of QB Brady has been forced time and time again this season to score at will with what spare parts he is allotted, be it castaway WR Brandon Lloyd, Post Season bumbler WR Wes Welker and/or one of his collection of talented yet oft-injured TEs. Then again, this unit continually exceeded expectations this past Regular Season and continue to do so into the playoffs. Averaging the most points of any NFL offensive unit in 2012-13, don’t expect this BAL club to extend their late game heroics for a second week in a row here for, as much as the Ravens have soared of late, their opponent’s scoring prowess is far greater, far more experienced and far less likely to falter under the pressure of such heavy spotlight. NE will win here without a doubt.











Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
QB
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Flacco
21.5
19.6
UNDER

OVER
27.1
25.5
Brady

Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
RB
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Rice
85.5
85.6


OVER
72.8
78.5
Ridley

Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
WR
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Boldin
5.5
3.9
OVER


6.6

Welker






7.0
6.5
Hernandez

avg sacks
prediction
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg sacks
2.2

4.5

1.7
season total
prediction
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
5

1.5

7
season total
40+
prediction
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
40+
12
OVER
51.5
OVER
8
season total
20+
prediction
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
20+
10
OVER
25.5
OVER
11
season total
50+
season total
40-49
prediction
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
40-49
season total
50+
4-4
10-13
OVER
45.5
OVER
9-13
2-2
avg yds PTR
prediction
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg yds PTR
7.8
UNDER
17.5
UNDER
6.7
avg half
prediction
1ST HALF
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
12.5

25.5

17.4
avg half
prediction
2ND HALF
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
12.5

25.5

17.4

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