Sunday, 16 December 2012

SUNDAY (4PM): All Games


GAME CHART
4-9 (2-5 away)
det
@
ARI
4-9 (3-3 home)
avg DEF ppg
26.3
14.3
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
24.6
22.5
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
13th
28th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
20th
32nd
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
1st
5th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
21st
30th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
3-4
defensive formation
DT Fairley (DOUB)
TE Pettigrew (DOUB)
key injuries
WR Doucet (OUT)
S Sanders (DOUB)
FORECAST
N/A
STAT ALERT
-          ARI lost 58-0 on the road in SEA last weekend
-          ARI have lost 9 straight games
-          DET have lost 5 straight games
-          In last 3 straight losses, Lions have led the game by 10+ pts
-          DET WR Calvin Johnson is 302 REC yds shy of tying WR Jerry Rice for most REC yds in a single season
-          In his last 3 outings, ARI RB Wells has 88 rush yds on 38 carries
-          ARI WR Fitzgerald had only 2 REC yds in week 14 vs SEA
ANALYST INSIGHT
ARI WR Larry Fitzgerald and RB Beanie Wells will each find the end zone, providing more than enough Arizona offense to help this one up and 'over' the total – S. MURPHY

The Lions bring a strong front four and an underrated running game, and that should be enough to grind out their first victory since Week 9 – V. IYER

The Cardinals aren’t doing anything right – M.D. SMITH

You can’t give seven points to a home dog when you’re only a 4-8 team that can’t defend – even if Ryan Lindley is starting at QB – D. BILICKI
FINAL PREDICTION
DET
SU
vs SPR
ARI (+7.0)
The Cards have looked ugly of late losing 9 straight games and alternating between ineffective backup QBs. Regardless, ARI remains a .500 ball club when on home turf this season and the traveling 2-5 Lions are far from a powerhouse force when on the road in 2012-13, dome or no dome. Expect underachieving ARI RB Beanie Wells to breakout for a few big gains this weekend vs a suspect DET run defence and for the Cards to post on a respectable final score differential before their home crowd this Sunday afternoon at University of Phoenix Stadium.



GAME CHART
8-5 (2-5 away)
sea
@
BUF
5-8 (3-3 home)
avg DEF ppg
15.5
22.2
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
23.1
27.1
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
4th
25th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
10th
6th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
29th
14th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
4th
28th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
4-3
defensive formation
CB Trufant (OUT)
CB Thurmond (OUT)
WR Martin (OUT)
key injuries
C Wood (OUT)
RB Jackson (OUT)
FORECAST
N/A
STAT ALERT
-          SEA QB Wilson owns 2nd best overall QB rating since week 8 (112.4)
-          BUF RB Spiller leads NFL with avg 6.7 yds per rush
ANALYST INSIGHT
SEA will beat Buffalo handily here – M.D. SMITH
FINAL PREDICTION
SEA
SU
vs SPR
BUF (+6.5)
The Bills may not be at home but they have played a game at Toronto’s Rogers Centre a minimum once every year since the start of the 2008 season. Though this far from qualifies as home field advantage, the Bills know the in-and-outs of the stadium better than their traveling opponent SEA, a club who’s road play has accrued all their losses for the 2012-13 campaign. BUF RB Spiller should keep his club in contention all afternoon this weekend by extending drives so that QB Fitzpatrick can pepper the Seahawks stout pass defence with a few timely throws to WR Stevie Johnson & TE Chandler for a score or two here and there. Then, sit back and witness why the murmurs of the rookie of the year honours still persist for Seahawks QB Russell Wilson when he leads his club to yet another late heroics win and keeps SEA on pace for the NFC West crown title.



GAME CHART
4-9 (2-4 away)
car
@
SD
5-8 (2-4 home)
avg DEF ppg
24.0
22.5
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
20.4
21.6
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
12th
19th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
21st
27th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
17th
22nd
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
11th
4th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
3-4
defensive formation
C Hangartner (OUT)
DT Edwards (OUT)
RB Stewart (OUT)
key injuries
RB Brown (DOUB)
LB Williams (OUT)
LB Butler (DOUB)
G Green (DOUB)
T Clary (DOUB)
FORECAST
Cloudy with a chance of showers
STAT ALERT
-          SD has won only 2 games in their past 9 outings
-          this game is CARs only West Coast matchup of the season
ANALYST INSIGHT
CAR QB Cam Newton will stay hot, but he won't get much help on the ground and will fall short in a good duel with SD QB Rivers – V. IYER

A big game from QB Philip Rivers will win it for the Chargers – M.D. SMITH

CAR covers as SD hasn’t seen a running QB all season – R. THE HANDLE
FINAL PREDICTION
SD
SU
vs SPR
SD (-3.0)
With the run attack of the Panthers all but assured to be stopped in its tracks this weekend in the Golden State, expect the Superchargers to jump passing routes for INTs vs struggling CAR QB Cam Newton all afternoon this coming Sunday. SD is a ball club that is on its way to the basement of the NFL. That said, the Chargers are far from league-wide doormats yet. CAR is an imposter NFL club with massive holes on both the offensive and defensive sides of the pigskin. SD QB Philip Rivers will exploit his home field advantage and increased ball possession for big scores this weekend at Qualcomm Stadium during the Panthers lone West Coast trip of the season.



GAME CHART
2-11 (1-5 away)
kc
@
OAK
3-10 (2-5 home)
avg DEF ppg
27.1
19.1
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
15.0
30.9
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
9th
7th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
27th
30th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
31st
28th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
5th
26th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
3-4
4-3
defensive formation
S Elam (DOUB)
WR Bowe (OUT)
G Hochstein (DOUB)
key injuries
none
FORECAST
Cloudy with a chance of showers
STAT ALERT
-          KC QB Quinn was 10-21 for 159 pass yds & 1 INT in week 14 vs CLE
-          KC defence rank 27th in NFL in passing TDs allowed
ANALYST INSIGHT
OAK RB Run DM will have an excellent chance to put up some big numbers this week, going up against a Chiefs defense that has really struggled against the run…I think this battle of the bottom feeders favors the home team, and with Oakland only a small favorite, I like their chances – J. SCHULE

I like the Raiders to win and the Chiefs to take another step toward the top pick – M.D. SMITH

Neither of these teams are worthy of support but at least OAK has the ability to put up a few points – R. THE HANDLE

This one’s basically just for bragging rights in the division and at least the Raiders have RB Darren McFadden – D. BILICKI
FINAL PREDICTION
OAK
SU
vs SPR
KC (+3.5)
Likely to be the least watched game of the weekend in the NFL and/or any other sport for that matter. With incompetent QB Brady Quinn at the helm for KC, the Chiefs are limited in their offensive attack to RB Jamal Charles’ gains or nada.  OAKs passing offence has appeared quite capable this season. However, the Chiefs speciality is in shutting down passing attacks and, in spite of RB Run DMCs return to the Raiders lineup a week ago, the rusher has been far from productive for a good majority of his games played this season. The home field advantage should spell victory for the Black and Silver this weekend in the Black Hole but the ineptitude and propensity for mistakes with respect to both clubs involved in this divisional showdown should afford the Chiefs every opportunity to win this West Coast matchup.



GAME CHART
7-6 (3-4 away)
pit
@
DAL
7-6 (4-3 home)
avg DEF ppg
20.3
23.1
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
21.4
24.2
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
1st
3rd
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
5th
31st
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
11th
8th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
25th
16th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
3-4
3-4
defensive formation
T Adams (OUT)
T Colon (OUT)
CB Allen (DOUB)
CB Taylor (OUT)
key injuries
DT Ratliff (OUT)
FORECAST
N/A
STAT ALERT
-          PIT has lost 3 of their last 4 games
-          PIT has lost 4 games this season to teams with losing records
-          DAL WR Bryant has a TD in 5 straight games
ANALYST INSIGHT
The Steelers need this game to stay in the race the AFC wild card spot. I expect PIT QB Big Ben to come up clutch when the Steelers need him the most, just like in the past – A. ARONSON

Pittsburgh’s running game will set up QB Roethlisberger to take this game away from DAL QB Romo in the fourth quarter – V. IYER

Pittsburgh looks like it’s fading down the stretch – M.D. SMITH

It’s hard to overlook that ugly home loss by the Steelers — and it’s even harder to ignore the sense that the Cowboys are finding a way to pull together after Saturday’s tragedy – M. FLORIO
FINAL PREDICTION
PIT
SU
vs SPR
DAL (+2.5)
Both clubs need this win here to remain within striking distance of their respective divisional crown races. All that told, PIT is the likelier of the two to emerge victorious in this noteworthy matchup as the Cowboys inability to field a competent run attack, not to mention propensity for bad playcalling, will hamper their chances at exploiting innumerable offensive opportunities sure to ensue due to gaping deficiencies in the PIT offence. The well-seasoned experience of QB Big Ben will make all the difference for Steeltown on the final scoreboard here as the elite QB will overcome numerous sacks, team wide injuries and a slumping rush attack for a PIT win this weekend in Big D.








PROPS CHART-PLAYERS



Pro*Line #
avg home
avg road
prediction
QB
prediction
avg road
avg home
Pro*Line #

Roehtlisberger
23.5
20.2
26.0
UNDER

UNDER
23.3
31.0
24.5
Romo

Pro*Line #
avg home
avg road
prediction
RB
prediction
avg road
avg home
Pro*Line #

N/A





UNDER
80.3
48.3
64.5
Murray

Pro*Line #
avg home
avg road
prediction
WR
prediction
avg road
avg home
Pro*Line #

Miller
4.5
3.7
5.6
UNDER


5.3
9.2

Witten
Brown

5.5
4.8



4.3
7.5

Bryant












PROPS CHART-FIELD


season total
avg game
prediction
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
Prediction
avg game
season total
20
2.0
OVER
4.5
OVER
2.4
31
season total
avg game
prediction
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg game
season total
14
1.1
OVER
1.5
OVER
0.6
8
season total
40+
avg game
40+
prediction
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg game
40+
season total
40+
5
0.4

44.5

0.5
6
season total
20+
avg game
20+
prediction
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg game
20+
season total
20+
6
0.5
UNDER
24.5
UNDER
0.3
4
season total
PTR yds
avg yds PTR

prediction
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg yds PTR

season total
PTR yds
263
11.0

16.5

9.5
200
season total
40-49+
season total
50+
prediction
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
50+
season total
40-49+
10-10
1-2
OVER
45.5
OVER
2-4
5-5
avg quarter
avg half
prediction
SCORING
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
avg quarter
5.4
10.7

1ST-22.5/2ND-22.5

11.6
5.8

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