|
GAME CHART
|
|||||||
|
2-11
(1-5 away)
|
jax
|
@
|
MIA
|
5-8 (3-3 home)
|
|||
|
avg DEF ppg
|
27.6
|
18.5
|
avg OFF ppg
|
||||
|
avg OFF ppg
|
16.6
|
21.2
|
avg DEF ppg
|
||||
|
pass DEF rank
|
24th
|
23rd
|
pass OFF rank
|
||||
|
rush DEF rank
|
31st
|
19th
|
rush OFF rank
|
||||
|
pass OFF rank
|
24th
|
25th
|
pass DEF rank
|
||||
|
rush OFF rank
|
29th
|
9th
|
rush DEF rank
|
||||
|
defensive formation
|
4-3
|
4-3
|
defensive formation
|
||||
|
DE
Selvie (OUT)
RB
Jennings (OUT)
CB
Ross (OUT)
RB
Jones-Drew (OUT)
RB
Todman (OUT)
|
key injuries
|
WR Bess (OUT)
LB Misi (OUT)
|
|||||
|
FORECAST
|
|||||||
|
Cloudy with a chance of showers
|
|||||||
|
STAT ALERT
|
|||||||
|
-
MIA
offence averaging 14 ppg over their last 5 outings
-
JAX
pass defence has allowed only 216 yds in their last 2 games to opponents
-
JAX
defence own NFL worst 14 sacks
|
|||||||
|
ANALYST INSIGHT
|
|||||||
|
Heading back to
Miami is big for JAX QB Henne as he will be out to prove something – M. FARGO
Former Dolphins starter QB Chad Henne will lead a
valiant Jaguars comeback, but this Sunshine State matchup tips in the favor
of South Florida – V. IYER
The Jags and their 31st ranked offence
(now starting their fourth-string RB) won’t bode well for a win against a
stellar Miami defence – R. THE HANDLE
The Jags play better on the road and the Dolphins
barely have a home-field advantage historically – D. BILICKI
|
|||||||
|
FINAL PREDICTION
|
|||||||
|
MIA
|
SU
|
vs
SPR
|
JAX (+7.5)
|
||||
|
In the battle of Florida this Sunday at Sun Life Stadium, the
winner of the matchup may appear clear but the hefty spread tally assigned is
likely an enormous overstatement. JAX has played some competitive football of
late and with emerging star wideout Cecil Shorts III set to return to the
lineup, expect the Jungle Cats to give the Fish all they handle in this
inner-state rivalry. MIA is excellent at preventing the opposition run
attack. However, outside of that accolade, the Dolphins are extremely limited
in all other facets of the game which will afford the Jags the opportunity to
hang around all afternoon in this contest.
|
|||||||
|
GAME CHART
|
|||||||
|
6-7 (3-3
away)
|
tb
|
@
|
NWO
|
5-8 (3-3 home)
|
|||
|
avg DEF ppg
|
23.7
|
26.8
|
avg OFF ppg
|
||||
|
avg OFF ppg
|
27.2
|
29.2
|
avg DEF ppg
|
||||
|
pass DEF rank
|
32nd
|
2nd
|
pass OFF rank
|
||||
|
rush DEF rank
|
1st
|
26th
|
rush OFF rank
|
||||
|
pass OFF rank
|
13th
|
30th
|
pass DEF rank
|
||||
|
rush OFF rank
|
13th
|
32nd
|
rush DEF rank
|
||||
|
defensive formation
|
4-3
|
4-3
|
defensive formation
|
||||
|
none
|
key injuries
|
CB White (OUT)
RB Ivory (OUT)
T Strief (OUT)
S Jenkins (OUT)
T Brown (OUT)
|
|||||
|
FORECAST
|
|||||||
|
N/A
|
|||||||
|
STAT ALERT
|
|||||||
|
-
In
his last 4 games vs NWO, TB QB Josh Freeman has 8 TD, 0 INT
|
|||||||
|
ANALYST INSIGHT
|
|||||||
|
It's hard to pick against New Orleans in a
Superdome shootout – V. IYER
NWO QB Drew Brees will
turn in a big game against a depleted Buccaneers secondary and the Saints
will put together a solid win – M.D. SMITH
Neither side can defend the pass, but take the
Saints since they’re better at airing it out – D. BILICKI
|
|||||||
|
FINAL PREDICTION
|
|||||||
|
NWO
|
SU
|
vs
SPR
|
TB (+4.5)
|
||||
|
The battle to save face. TB has done well to hang tough with
powerhouse NWO clubs over recent years and the likelihood that changes this
weekend is improbable at best. The Saints have a number of defensive starters
returning to their starting lineup this weekend with the repeal of the Bounty
Gate suspensions imposed by NFL commissioner Roger Goodell. That said, the
rust on these players will be immense and, with the level at which the Bucs
offensive has been playing of late, a win for traveling TBay is not out of
the question this Sunday at the Superdome in Lousiana.
|
|||||||
|
GAME CHART
|
|||||||
|
7-6 (1-5
away)
|
min
|
@
|
STL
|
6-6-1 (4-3 home)
|
|||
|
avg DEF ppg
|
22.0
|
18.2
|
avg OFF ppg
|
||||
|
avg OFF ppg
|
21.8
|
21.5
|
avg DEF ppg
|
||||
|
pass DEF rank
|
18th
|
22nd
|
pass OFF rank
|
||||
|
rush DEF rank
|
14th
|
16th
|
rush OFF rank
|
||||
|
pass OFF rank
|
32nd
|
11th
|
pass DEF rank
|
||||
|
rush OFF rank
|
3rd
|
13th
|
rush DEF rank
|
||||
|
defensive formation
|
4-3
|
4-3
|
defensive formation
|
||||
|
none
|
key injuries
|
none
|
|||||
|
FORECAST
|
|||||||
|
N/A
|
|||||||
|
STAT ALERT
|
|||||||
|
-
STL
ranks 2nd in NFL in sacks
-
MIN
RB Peterson has 1101 rush yds & 8 TD in his last 7 games
-
STL
defence has not allowed an RB to rush for 65+ yds in 4 straight games
|
|||||||
|
ANALYST INSIGHT
|
|||||||
|
STL won’t allow struggling Vikings QB Christian
Ponder to win a tight game with slim wild-card hopes on the line – V. IYER
I see the Rams’ defense forcing MIN QB Christian
Ponder into three interceptions and the Rams ending the Vikings’ playoff
hopes – M.D. SMITH
The Rams are expected to win and by a margin
against a winning team that is in playoff contention? – R. THE HANDLE
MIN RB Adrian Peterson is all the Vikings need to
win this game - even if they are on the road against a better team – D.
BILICKI
|
|||||||
|
FINAL PREDICTION
|
|||||||
|
MIN
|
SU
|
vs
SPR
|
MIN (+1.5)
|
||||
|
One of the most closely matched contests of the coming weekend,
expect fireworks and fumbles this Sunday in STL. MIN has been awful in their pass
attack since the loss of star wideout Percy Harvin in week 9 of the season.
That said, RB Adrian Peterson has picked up the slack for his club’s aerial
deficiencies and has annihilated all run defences that have attempted to
suppress his ground game by averaging a minimum of 100+ rush yds every game
since week 6. The Rams are a stout defensive club and their offence has shone
at times in spite of QB Sam Bradford’s inability to preserve consistency in
his throwing game. Nevertheless, the Vikes need this win to keep pace in the
NFC North division title race and, with the Rams having already missed the
playoffs yet again this year, don’t expect this opportunity to pass Minny by.
|
|||||||
|
GAME CHART
|
|||||||
|
9-4 (3-3
away)
|
ind
|
@
|
HOU
|
11-2 (5-1 home)
|
|||
|
avg DEF ppg
|
25.3
|
28.1
|
avg OFF ppg
|
||||
|
avg OFF ppg
|
22.5
|
20.2
|
avg DEF ppg
|
||||
|
pass DEF rank
|
20th
|
10th
|
pass OFF rank
|
||||
|
rush DEF rank
|
19th
|
8th
|
rush OFF rank
|
||||
|
pass OFF rank
|
8th
|
19th
|
pass DEF rank
|
||||
|
rush OFF rank
|
22nd
|
3rd
|
rush DEF rank
|
||||
|
defensive formation
|
3-4
|
3-4
|
defensive formation
|
||||
|
C
Satele (OUT)
RB
Carter (OUT)
S
Zbikowski (OUT)
T
Justice (OUT)
LB
Connor (OUT)
|
key injuries
|
LB Reed (OUT)
CB Ball (OUT)
|
|||||
|
FORECAST
|
|||||||
|
N/A
|
|||||||
|
STAT ALERT
|
|||||||
|
-
IND
has won 7 of their past 8 games
-
IND
offence has been outscored by 37 pts this season
-
HOU
defence has allowed avg of 30+ ppg to last four straight opponents
|
|||||||
|
ANALYST INSIGHT
|
|||||||
|
The
Colts have no business as an underdog
of more than a touchdown to any mediocre foe – T. COVERS
When they lose, Indy’s youth and major defensive
holes show up in a big way – V. IYER
Houston is a more complete team than Indianapolis
and should put the Colts away and clinch the AFC South – M.D. SMITH
Behind IND QB Luck’s weak road numbers, I’m
confident that the talented Texans bounce back from their MNF disgrace in a
commanding way – R. THE HANDLE
The Texans were just embarrassed by the Pats and
will be looking to extract some vengeance and finally clinch their division –
D. BILICKI
|
|||||||
|
FINAL PREDICTION
|
|||||||
|
HOU
|
SU
|
vs
SPR
|
IND (+9.5)
|
||||
|
HOU is having all sorts of trouble preventing opposition scoring
of late allowing an avg of 30+ points in four straight outings. With an
innumerable number of significant injuries scattered throughout their
defensive corp, the Texans have been ripe for the picking in recent weeks and
with the surging Colts, winners of 7 of their past 8 games, set to visit
Reliant Stadium this Sunday, expect a final scoreboard barn burner for this
showdown in the Lone Star state.
|
|||||||
|
PROPS CHART-PLAYERS
|
|||||||||||
|
|
|
||||||||||
|
|
Pro*Line
#
|
avg home
|
avg road
|
prediction
|
QB
|
prediction
|
avg road
|
avg home
|
Pro*Line
#
|
|
|
|
Luck
|
23.5
|
22.1
|
23.3
|
OVER
|
|
UNDER
|
20.0
|
24.2
|
21.5
|
Schaub
|
|
|
|
Pro*Line
#
|
avg home
|
avg road
|
prediction
|
RB
|
prediction
|
avg road
|
avg home
|
Pro*Line
#
|
|
|
|
N/A
|
|
|
|
UNDER
|
93.6
|
82.2
|
94.5
|
Foster
|
|||
|
|
Pro*Line
#
|
avg home
|
avg road
|
prediction
|
WR
|
prediction
|
avg road
|
avg home
|
Pro*Line
#
|
|
|
|
Wayne
|
6.5
|
9.0
|
6.7
|
OVER
|
|
|
4.6
|
6.7
|
|
Johnson
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROPS
CHART-FIELD
|
|||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
season
total
|
avg game
|
prediction
|
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
|
Prediction
|
avg game
|
season
total
|
|
|
32
|
2.5
|
|
4.5
|
|
1.3
|
17
|
|
|
season
total
|
avg game
|
prediction
|
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg game
|
season
total
|
|
|
8
|
0.6
|
UNDER
|
1.5
|
UNDER
|
0.2
|
2
|
|
|
season
total
40+
|
avg game
40+
|
prediction
|
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg game
40+
|
season
total
40+
|
|
|
9
|
0.7
|
OVER
|
46.5
|
OVER
|
0.5
|
7
|
|
|
season
total
20+
|
avg game
20+
|
prediction
|
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg game
20+
|
season
total
20+
|
|
|
3
|
0.2
|
|
26.5
|
|
0.8
|
11
|
|
|
season
total
PTR yds
|
avg yds
PTR
|
prediction
|
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg yds
PTR
|
season
total
PTR yds
|
|
|
338
|
13.0
|
OVER
|
17.5
|
OVER
|
11.0
|
396
|
|
|
season
total
40-49+
|
season total
50+
|
prediction
|
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
season
total
50+
|
season
total
40-49+
|
|
|
6-8
|
2-5
|
OVER
|
45.5
|
OVER
|
4-7
|
8-9
|
|
|
avg
quarter
|
avg half
|
prediction
|
SCORING
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg half
|
avg
quarter
|
|
|
5.7
|
11.3
|
|
1ST-23.5/2ND-23.5
|
|
14.1
|
7.1
|
|
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