Sunday 3 February 2013

SUNDAY (6PM): bal @ SF


   GAME CHART
10-6 (4-4 away)
bal
@
SF
11-4-1 (6-1-1 home)
avg DEF ppg
21.5
24.8
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
24.9
17.1
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
17th
23rd
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
20th
4th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
15th
4th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
11th
4th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
3-4
3-4
defensive formation
none
key injuries
none
FORECAST
N/A
STAT ALERT
-   9 of the last 15 Super Bowls have been decided by a single possession
- BAL QB Flacco has 8 TD, 0 INT in the 2012-13 playoffs
- SF defence allowing 28.8 PPG to opponents in their last 5 contests
ANALYST INSIGHT
While I do think the Ravens are playing their best football at the right time, I simply don’t see them as better than the 49ers on either side of the ball…I do expect Baltimore to have a decided special-teams advantage in this game, but I don’t think that’s going to produce enough game-changing plays to make the difference. The 49ers are the better team, and they’ll hoist the Lombardi Trophy on Sunday night – M.D. SMITH

The 49ers are the better team on paper.  But the Broncos and the Patriots were the better teams on paper, too.  And the Ravens just keep winning.  The offense has improved, and the 49ers pass defense has dipped in recent weeks, with a less potent rush and safeties who seem to get caught flat-footed all too often…there’s something about the Ravens this year, between the impact of Ray Lewis and the emergence of Joe Flacco…In the end, there’s a good chance that each Harbaugh brother will get a ring.  For now, the first-born son (Ravens head coach) becomes the first one to hoist the trophy – M. FLORIO

Baltimore has been building to this moment for a while under John Harbaugh, and its experience will help it to steal the game late – V. IYER
FINAL PREDICTION
BAL
SU
vs SPR
BAL (+4.0)
If the NFL playoffs of 2012-13 have demonstrated anything it is that this season’s postseason pilgrimage is much more about timeliness and momentum than it is about hard numbers and steady handedness.  The 49ers are the superior club in this contest, a fact that can hardly be refuted given their allotted four-pt spread by Vegas oddsmakers. Regardless, Baltimore is playing like a team possessed of late, one that has knocked off previous Super Bowl MVP QBs Tom Brady & Peyton Manning in consecutive weeks and have displayed little to no signs of slowing on their brazen path towards the Lombardi Trophy. With a FGM+ spread to their name and a minimally experienced, albeit supremely talent young Quarterback under Center, expect the Niners to slug this match out to the bitter end. Sadly for SF, that’s just where the Ravens have shone brightest this postseason.









Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
QB
prediction
avg @road
Pro*Line #

Flacco
21.5
19.6
UNDER

UNDER
17.5
17.5
Kaepernick

Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
RB
prediction
avg @road
Pro*Line #

Rice
73.5
85.6
OVER

OVER
68.3
88.5
Gore

Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
WR
prediction
avg @road
Pro*Line #

Boldin
4.5
3.9
OVER

OVER
5.1
6.5
Crabtree











avg sacks
prediction
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg sacks
2.2
UNDER
4.5
UNDER
1.8
season total
prediction
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
5
OVER
1.5
OVER
8
season total
40+
prediction
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
40+
12
OVER
48.5
OVER
8
season total
20+
prediction
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
20+
10
OVER
28.5
OVER
17
season total
50+
season total
40-49
prediction
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
40-49
season total
50+
4-4
10-13
OVER
45.5
OVER
7-13
2-6
avg yds PTR
prediction
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg yds PTR
7.8
OVER
17.5
OVER
6.7
avg half
prediction
1ST HALF
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
12.5
UNDER
23.5
UNDER
12.4
avg half
prediction
2ND HALF
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
12.5
OVER
23.5
OVER
12.4

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