Sunday, 6 January 2013

SUNDAY (1PM): ind @ BAL


GAME CHART
11-5 (4-4 away)
ind
@
BAL
10-6 (6-2 home)
avg DEF ppg
24.2
24.9
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
22.3
21.5
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
21st
15th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
29th
11th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
7th
17th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
22nd
20th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
3-4
3-4
defensive formation
G Reitz (OUT)
key injuries
none
FORECAST
Sunny
STAT ALERT
-          BAL has lost 4 of their last 5 games
-          IND has won 9 of their last 11 games
-          BAL has lost only 2 of their last 19 contests on home field
-          IND QB Luck had 11 TD, 13 INT in road games this season
ANALYST INSIGHT
Head coach Chuck Pagano is back on the sidelines, and the way the Colts humbled the Houston Texans under his watchful eyes in Week 17 spells doom for the Ravens on Sunday – J. REED

Look for the Ravens to make big plays while limiting opportunities for the confident, strong-armed IND QB Luck – V. IYER

The Ravens are a full TD choice here. Oddsmakers are no dummies…The Ravens are a playoff-experienced team taking on a young group that is just happy to be here. A route would not surprise – R. THE HANDLE
FINAL PREDICTION
BAL
SU
vs SPR
IND (+6.5)
The Colts played some inspired football this season but it will all come to an end this Sunday at M&T Bank Stadium. The Ravens have been a juggernaut on home turf in recent years, having lost but two matches before their Maryland faithful over the course of the past three seasons. True, the Ravens defense is in a state of decline, no more so evident than their secondary which is too injured and beleaguered to stop a forceful air attack. That said, IND QB Andrew Luck, though a strong candidate for Rookie of the Year honours, has struggled notably when passing in road games in his initial NFL season and those struggles are sure to shine in the spotlight this weekend in Baltimore. By game’s end here, expect BAL RB Ray Rice to have exploited the particularly weak Colts rush defence for big ground yardage which in turn will have lent to increased Ravens possession time which in turn will have lent to a Baltimore Divisional Round playoff berth.









Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
QB
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Luck
21.5
21.3
UNDER


22.0
20.5
Flacco

Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
RB
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Ballard
65.5
52.6
OVER

UNDER
67.4
101.5
Rice

Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
WR
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Wayne
6.5
6.0
UNDER


5.4
4.5
Boldin






3.9

Pitta


avg sacks
prediction
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg sacks
2.6

4.5

2.2
season total
prediction
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
9
UNDER
1.5
UNDER
5
season total
40+
prediction
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
40+
11
OVER
47.5
OVER
12
season total
20+
prediction
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
20+
5
UNDER
27.5
UNDER
10
season total
50+
season total
40-49
prediction
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
40-49
season total
50+
4-7
9-10
OVER
45.5
OVER
10-13
4-4
avg yds PTR
prediction
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg yds PTR
11.7

16.5

7.8
avg half
prediction
1ST HALF
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
11.2

23.5

12.5
avg half
prediction
2ND HALF
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
11.2

23.5

12.5

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