Saturday, 12 January 2013

SATURDAY (8PM): gb @ SF


GAME CHART
11-5 (4-4 away)
gb
@
SF
11-4-1 (6-1-1 home)
avg DEF ppg
21.0
24.8
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
27.1
17.1
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
11th
23rd
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
17th
4th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
9th
4th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
20th
4th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
3-4
3-4
defensive formation
WR Boykin (OUT)
DE Worthy (OUT)
key injuries
none
FORECAST
Cloudy
STAT ALERT
-          GBay offence 68% in the Red Zone
-          SF QB Kaepernick had 10 TD, 3 INT, 99.9 QB Rating in 7 starts this season; went undefeated at Candlestick Park
-          GB 1-4 when QB Rodgers sacked more than 3 times in a game
ANALYST INSIGHT
Even though San Fran put a whipping on Green Bay back in the first week of the season, these are two different teams now. The Niners revamped their offence and the Pack are playing up to their potential. So, when in doubt, take the points – D. BILICKI

Green Bay could find itself in tough. The Niners are rested…Given the upgrade at QB, the stronger defence, Green Bay’s soft run defence and the small spread number, I’ll gladly endorse the home side – R. THE HANDLE
FINAL PREDICTION
GB
SU
vs SPR
GB (+2.5)
The 49ers bore an undeniable propensity to throw when on home turf in 2012-13, a factor which leaves the door wide open for a GBay upset win on the road this coming Saturday evening. The Pack were excellent against the pass this Regular Season, ranking one spot outside the top-10 in the league, and bear a respectable rush defence that should limit SF RB Gore from making a mockery of their run stoppage as did MIN RB Peterson the last two weeks in a row. QB Colin Kaepernick played so well for the Niners this season he managed to convince the coaching staff he is the right man to lead the club’s playoff charge this campaign. It’s just too bad, despite all the stalwart defence behind him, the youngster QB still lacks the playoff experience necessary for a taut matchup such as this one and that should prove the difference on the scoreboard this weekend in the Bay.









Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
QB
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Rodgers
24.5
23.0
UNDER


16.7
16.5
Kaepernick

Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
RB
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

N/A

N/A


OVER
83.5
82.5
Gore

Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
WR
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Cobb

6.3


OVER
5.5
5.5
Crabtree
Nelson
4.5
3.9
UNDER







avg sacks
prediction
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg sacks
3.2
OVER
5.5
OVER
2.0
season total
prediction
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
8
UNDER
1.5
UNDER
8
season total
40+
prediction
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
40+
9
OVER
48.5
OVER
8
season total
20+
prediction
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
20+
8
OVER
25.5
OVER
17
season total
50+
season total
40-49
prediction
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
40-49
season total
50+
2-9
9-12

45.5

7-13
2-6
avg yds PTR
prediction
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg yds PTR
7.5

17.5

6.9
avg half
prediction
1ST HALF
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
13.6

22.5

12.4
avg half
prediction
2ND HALF
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
13.6

22.5

12.4

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