Saturday, 12 January 2013

SATURDAY (4PM): bal @ DEN



GAME CHART
10-6 (4-4 away)
bal
@
DEN
13-3 (7-1 home)
avg DEF ppg
21.5
30.1
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
24.9
18.1
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
17th
5th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
20th
16th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
15th
3rd
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
11th
3rd
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
3-4
4-3
defensive formation
T Reid (OUT)
key injuries
CB Porter (OUT)
FORECAST
Cloudy with a chance of snow
STAT ALERT
-          BAL lost 4 of their last 5 Regular Season games, 3 of which they allowed 30+ pts
-          DEN has won 11 straight games; all Broncos wins this season have come by a TD or more
-          BAL lost all 3 road games this season when facing teams with winning records
-          DEN WRs Decker & Thomas each had minimum 1,000 REC yds & 10 TDs for the Regular Season
ANALYST INSIGHT
The deck is certainly stacked against Baltimore and the Broncos aren’t a team to waste that advantage – D. BILICKI

The Ravens have not looked sharp for weeks – R. THE HANDLE
FINAL PREDICTION
DEN
SU
vs SPR
DEN (-9.5)
Is there a need for this game to be played? The Broncos are better than the Ravens in every major statistical category, are playing on home turf, sport two wideouts this season that topped 1,000 yds REC & 10 TDs a piece, are fielding a QB that has not just a Super Bowl win to his credit but a Super Bowl MVP ring to boot, ended their Regular Season campaign on an 11-game win streak and are coming off an extra week’s rest. There simply is no logical argument for a Ravens win and/or cover in this spot.










Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
QB
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Flacco
20.5
19.6
UNDER

OVER
25.3
24.5
Manning

Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
RB
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Rice
72.5
85.6


UNDER
63.7
90.5
Moreno

Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
WR
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Boldin
4.5
3.9
UNDER


5.9

Thomas






5.1
5.5
Decker

avg sacks
prediction
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg sacks
2.2

4.5

1.3
season total
prediction
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
5

1.5

14
season total
40+
prediction
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
40+
12
OVER
46.5
OVER
7
season total
20+
prediction
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
20+
10
OVER
24.5
OVER
7
season total
50+
season total
40-49
prediction
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
40-49
season total
50+
4-4
10-13
OVER
44.5
OVER
5-9
3-4
avg yds PTR
prediction
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg yds PTR
7.8

16.5

6.0
avg half
prediction
1ST HALF
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
12.5
UNDER
23.5
UNDER
15.1
avg half
prediction
2ND HALF
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
12.5

23.5

15.1

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