GAME CHART
|
|||||||
9-3 (4-2
away)
|
den
|
@
|
OAK
|
3-9 (2-4 home)
|
|||
avg DEF ppg
|
20.3
|
19.6
|
avg OFF ppg
|
||||
avg OFF ppg
|
29.1
|
31.3
|
avg DEF ppg
|
||||
pass DEF rank
|
6th
|
8th
|
pass OFF rank
|
||||
rush DEF rank
|
7th
|
29th
|
rush OFF rank
|
||||
pass OFF rank
|
7th
|
25th
|
pass DEF rank
|
||||
rush OFF rank
|
22nd
|
28th
|
rush DEF rank
|
||||
defensive formation
|
4-3
|
4-3
|
defensive formation
|
||||
LB
Woodyard (DOUB)
|
key injuries
|
DT Seymour (OUT)
|
|||||
FORECAST
|
|||||||
Cloudy
|
|||||||
STAT ALERT
|
|||||||
- DEN has won 7 straight games
- DEN coming off short week
- OAK allowing opposition avg of 37.8 ppg over last 5 games
- OAK has lost 5 straight games; 4 of 5 OAK losses have been by
10-pts or more
- DEN 2nd in NFL in sacks (38)
|
|||||||
ANALYST INSIGHT
|
|||||||
The Broncos are good, the Raiders are not, and
the score won’t be close – M.D. SMITH
DEN QB Peyton Manning's crew
beat the tar out of Oakland – J. REED
OAK QB Palmer will be asked to drop back often
and take abuse from Miller and friends. That should lead to more costly
turnovers and another Broncos laugher - V. IYER
|
|||||||
FINAL PREDICTION
|
|||||||
DEN
|
SU
|
vs
SPR
|
DEN (-11.5)
|
||||
Division game or not, DEN should hammer the Raiders in this
spot. OAKs defence currently ranks in the bottom five teams in the league and
is allowing an average of 37+ ppg over the course of their past five outings.
On the other side of the pigskin, the Broncos are riding high on the
shoulders of QB Peyton Manning who has posted some of the best numbers of his
NFL career in 2012-13 and in all likelihood will be voted league MVP by
season’s end. A four FGM spread for a road club coming off a short week is a
tall order, even up against a squad that is sporting little to no defence.
That said, OAK has had just as many troubles of late scoring as they have
holding opposition to respectable scoreboard tallies and unless K Janikowski
can rail off as many, if not more, 40+ FGMs in this ball game than he has all
season, it’s highly unlikely the Raiders hang around in this contest outside the
first half.
|
|||||||
PROPS CHART-PLAYERS
|
|||||||||||
Pro*Line
#
|
avg home
|
avg road
|
prediction
|
QB
|
prediction
|
avg road
|
avg home
|
Pro*Line
#
|
|||
Manning
|
24.5
|
24.8
|
25.8
|
OVER
|
UNDER
|
21.3
|
29.5
|
25.5
|
Palmer
|
||
Pro*Line
#
|
avg home
|
avg road
|
prediction
|
RB
|
prediction
|
avg road
|
avg home
|
Pro*Line
#
|
|||
N/A
|
N/A
|
||||||||||
Pro*Line
#
|
avg home
|
avg road
|
prediction
|
WR
|
prediction
|
avg road
|
avg home
|
Pro*Line
#
|
|||
Thomas
|
5.5
|
5.2
|
6.3
|
OVER
|
4.2
|
7.3
|
Myers
|
||||
Decker
|
4.7
|
4.3
|
UNDER
|
3.3
|
3.7
|
4.5
|
Heyward-Bey
|
||||
PROPS
CHART-FIELD
|
|||||||
season
total
|
avg game
|
prediction
|
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
|
Prediction
|
avg game
|
season
total
|
|
16
|
1.3
|
UNDER
|
4.5
|
UNDER
|
2.1
|
25
|
|
season
total
|
avg game
|
prediction
|
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg game
|
season
total
|
|
13
|
1.1
|
OVER
|
1.5
|
OVER
|
0.7
|
8
|
|
season
total
40+
|
avg game
40+
|
prediction
|
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg game
40+
|
season
total
40+
|
|
6
|
0.5
|
49.5
|
0.7
|
8
|
|||
season
total
20+
|
avg game
20+
|
prediction
|
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg game
20+
|
season
total
20+
|
|
5
|
0.4
|
26.5
|
0.5
|
6
|
|||
season
total
PTR yds
|
avg yds
PTR
|
prediction
|
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg yds
PTR
|
season
total
PTR yds
|
|
115
|
4.8
|
UNDER
|
17.5
|
UNDER
|
10.4
|
397
|
|
season total
40-49+
|
season
total
50+
|
prediction
|
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
season
total
50+
|
season
total
40-49+
|
|
2-5
|
3-4
|
OVER
|
45.5
|
OVER
|
4-6
|
4-4
|
|
avg
quarter
|
avg half
|
prediction
|
SCORING
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg half
|
avg
quarter
|
|
7.3
|
14.6
|
1ST-24.5/2ND-24.5
|
9.8
|
4.9
|
|||
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