Sunday 9 December 2012

SUNDAY (8PM): det @ GB


GAME CHART
4-8 (2-4 away)
det
@
GB
8-4 (5-1 home)
avg DEF ppg
26.2
24.7
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
25.0
21.6
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
18th
11th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
19th
20th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
1st
17th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
21st
15th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
3-4
defensive formation
none
key injuries
LB Matthews (OUT)
WR Nelson (OUT)
DE Neal (DOUB)
RB Starks (OUT)
DE Wilson (OUT)
S Woodson (OUT)
FORECAST
Cloudy with a chance of snow
STAT ALERT
-          DET has lost 3 straight games by 4-pts or less
-          DET hasn’t won a road game in GB in 21 years
-          DET defence allowing average of 19.75 ppg in second half over course of four game losing streak
ANALYST INSIGHT
Win or lose, this game should remain close with Green Bay's current cluster injury issues. Detroit led earlier meeting until late in the game – R. THE HANDLE

DET WR Calvin Johnson will have another big-time performance but GB QB Aaron Rodgers will pick apart Detroit’s secondary – M.D. SMITH

GB QB Aaron Rodgers will have no problems picking apart Detroit’s defense – V. IYER

The Green Bay Packers should win at home, but don't expect a blowout… Given the Packers porous offensive line, DTs Nick Fairley & Ndamukong Suh and the bruisers up front for the Lions should get plenty of opportunities to disrupt Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense – J. REED

The Lions haven’t won in Green Bay in 21 years. I don’t see that changing this week – D. BILICKI
FINAL PREDICTION
GB
SU
vs SPR
DET (+7.0)
The Lions are not a particularly bad NFL squad. That said, this is a game of two teams heading in entirely different directions. As the Pack continue to demonstrate they can play and win in spite of critical injuries to crucial on field positions, DETs failure to address their shortcomings with improved play has spelled their .250 win percentage this season. Don’t expect the Lions to be trampled in this spot on SNF as their offensive capabilities have more than made up for their consistent allowance of backbreaking plays for big yardage this 2012-13 campaign. Nevertheless, rest assured GBay will raise themselves to the head of the NFC North with a win this weekend at Lambeau Field vs a notably weaker divisional opponent.








PROPS CHART-PLAYERS



Pro*Line #
avg home
avg road
prediction
QB
prediction
avg road
avg home
Pro*Line #

Stafford
26.5
28.5
25.3
OVER

UNDER
22.2
24.3
23.5
Rodgers

Pro*Line #
avg home
avg road
prediction
RB
prediction
avg road
avg home
Pro*Line #

Leshoure

49.0
69.2






N/A

Pro*Line #
avg home
avg road
prediction
WR
prediction
avg road
avg home
Pro*Line #

Johnson
6.5
6.7
7.0
OVER


5.5
5.2

Cobb







6.0
4.5
4.5
Jennings












PROPS CHART-FIELD


season total
avg game
prediction
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
Prediction
avg game
season total
25
2.1
OVER
4.5
OVER
3.3
39
season total
avg game
prediction
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg game
season total
9
0.8

1.5

0.3
4
season total
40+
avg game
40+
prediction
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg game
40+
season total
40+
9
0.8
OVER
49.5
OVER
0.6
7
season total
20+
avg game
20+
prediction
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg game
20+
season total
20+
3
0.3
OVER
23.5
OVER
0.5
6
season total
PTR yds
avg yds PTR

prediction
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg yds PTR

season total
PTR yds
246
11.2
UNDER
15.5
UNDER
4.9
89
season total
40-49+
season total
50+
prediction
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
50+
season total
40-49+
13-16
2-2
UNDER
45.5
UNDER
1-7
5-6
avg quarter
avg half
prediction
SCORING
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
avg quarter
6.3
12.5

1ST-24.5/2ND-24.5

12.4
6.2

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