GAME CHART
|
|||||||
6-5 (3-2
away)
|
tb
|
@
|
DEN
|
8-3 (4-1 home)
|
|||
avg DEF ppg
|
23.1
|
28.9
|
avg OFF ppg
|
||||
avg OFF ppg
|
28.2
|
20.1
|
avg DEF ppg
|
||||
pass DEF rank
|
32nd
|
6th
|
pass OFF rank
|
||||
rush DEF rank
|
1st
|
20th
|
rush OFF rank
|
||||
pass OFF rank
|
13th
|
5th
|
pass DEF rank
|
||||
rush OFF rank
|
11th
|
9th
|
rush DEF rank
|
||||
defensive formation
|
4-3
|
4-3
|
defensive formation
|
||||
none
|
key injuries
|
none
|
|||||
FORECAST
|
|||||||
Clear
|
|||||||
STAT ALERT
|
|||||||
-
TB
has not lost a game by more than a TD all season
|
|||||||
ANALYST INSIGHT
|
|||||||
The Bucs are primed to shut down DEN’s six-game
winning streak – J. REED
The Broncos have had trouble slowing shifty
running backs such as TB RB Doug Martin and covering savvy tight ends such as
TE Dallas Clark – V. IYER
DEN QB Manning will pick the Bucs’ defense apart.
The best chance the Bucs have of keeping this game close is to control the
ball by running RB Doug Martin,
but in the end Manning will just have too much for Tampa Bay – M.D SMITH
|
|||||||
FINAL PREDICTION
|
|||||||
DEN
|
SU
|
vs
SPR
|
TB (+7.5)
|
||||
TB will be ripe for the picking for Broncos QB Manning & Co.
this weekend in Denver. The Buccaneers have greatly overachieved expectations
since their week 6 win over KC and have been riding high ever since. However,
TBay’s achilles heel this season has been without a doubt their pass defence,
a deficiency that will exposed without mercy this weekend at Mile High
Stadium. TB has disguised their maligned secondary play with the immaculate
offensive attack of duo QB Josh Freeman and RB Doug Martin in recent weeks.
However, the Broncos own one of the NFL’s top ranked defensive units and,
while also ranking 6th in overall total offence, are sure to
demonstrate this Sunday why TB is still not quite ready to take their play to
the next level of NFL competition.
|
|||||||
GAME CHART
|
|||||||
3-8 (0-5
away)
|
cle
|
@
|
OAK
|
3-8 (2-3 home)
|
|||
avg DEF ppg
|
22.5
|
19.8
|
avg OFF ppg
|
||||
avg OFF ppg
|
19.0
|
32.4
|
avg DEF ppg
|
||||
pass DEF rank
|
21st
|
8th
|
pass OFF rank
|
||||
rush DEF rank
|
19th
|
29th
|
rush OFF rank
|
||||
pass OFF rank
|
23rd
|
24th
|
pass DEF rank
|
||||
rush OFF rank
|
26th
|
28th
|
rush DEF rank
|
||||
defensive formation
|
4-3
|
4-3
|
defensive formation
|
||||
CB
Patterson (OUT)
S
Ventrone (OUT)
S
Young (OUT)
|
key injuries
|
LB McClain (OUT)
DE Crawford (OUT)
DT Seymour (OUT)
|
|||||
FORECAST
|
|||||||
Cloudy with a chance of showers
|
|||||||
STAT ALERT
|
|||||||
-
OAK
has allowed an avg of 42.2 ppg to opponents over their last 4 outings
-
Only
one OAK lost has come by less than 8 pts this season
-
CLE
has lost 12 straight road games
-
OAK
has lost 4 straight games
-
CLE
has allowed the fewest points to opposing TEs
|
|||||||
ANALYST INSIGHT
|
|||||||
Oakland should
never be favored against anyone – B. POWER
Trent Richardson will lead the charge on offense
and the Browns will win their fourth game of the season – J. REED
The Raiders' defense has plenty of (Black) holes,
which sets up the Browns’ talented rookie triplets—RB Trent Richardson, WR
Josh Gordon and QB Brandon Weeden—to have good days – V. IYER
The Browns will go into the Black Hole and come
out with their first road win of the season – M.D. SMITH
I’d wager on the Browns defence here – D. BILICKI
|
|||||||
FINAL PREDICTION
|
|||||||
CLE
|
SU
|
vs
SPR
|
CLE (-2.5)
|
||||
The Oakland Raiders have, simply put, looked awful in recent
weeks. Having not accrued a win since week 8 of the season, a victory which
came over the lowly KC Chiefs, OAK-town has been the black hole of the NFL
defensively of late having allowed an average of 42.2 ppg to opposition
offences’ over the course of their past four outings. CLE has lost 12
straight road contests and possess many critical problems when attempting to
maintain an offensive flow. That aside, CLEs defensive unit has competed far
above what statistics indicate and is sure to lure Raiders QB Carson Palmer
into crucial turnovers for scores in this matchup.
|
|||||||
GAME CHART
|
|||||||
6-5 (3-2
away)
|
cin
|
@
|
SD
|
4-7 (2-3 home)
|
|||
avg DEF ppg
|
22.5
|
22.3
|
avg OFF ppg
|
||||
avg OFF ppg
|
25.6
|
21.5
|
avg DEF ppg
|
||||
pass DEF rank
|
8th
|
18th
|
pass OFF rank
|
||||
rush DEF rank
|
17th
|
25th
|
rush OFF rank
|
||||
pass OFF rank
|
12th
|
20th
|
pass DEF rank
|
||||
rush OFF rank
|
14th
|
5th
|
rush DEF rank
|
||||
defensive formation
|
4-3
|
3-4
|
defensive formation
|
||||
WR
Sanu (OUT)
|
key injuries
|
LB Butler (OUT)
WR Royal (OUT)
TE Rosario (DOUB)
S Stuckey (OUT)
|
|||||
FORECAST
|
|||||||
Cloudy
|
|||||||
STAT ALERT
|
|||||||
-
CIN
QB Dalton has 9TD, 0 INT, 117.2 QB rating in his last 3 games
-
CIN
on a three game win streak
|
|||||||
ANALYST INSIGHT
|
|||||||
CIN QB Andy Dalton and the running game are in
the groove, and the defense is controlling the line and working well in
coverage. The Chargers are doing none of those things, and they also are
making mental mistakes. This is a game Cincy must win to earn a wild card –
V. IYER
|
|||||||
FINAL PREDICTION
|
|||||||
CIN
|
SU
|
vs
SPR
|
CIN (-2.5)
|
||||
SD is a unit that has been slowly descending into the basement
of the NFL over the course of the past few seasons. With a red-hot Bengals
squad visiting the West Coast this weekend looking for a fight, not much is
likely to change for the once formidable SuperChargers in terms of crucial
losses (a loss in this spot would all but assure SD’s playoff hunt is kaput).
The CIN connection of QB Dalton-to-WR Green has been the talk of the NFL all
season and will leave fans in SD this Sunday sorely longing for the days when
one of the most discussed combos was their contingent of QB Rivers-to-TE
Gates. SD will not roll over for Cincy in this matchup. However, SD QB Rivers
propensity for passing INTs will ensure his club a home loss at Qualcomm
Stadium this week 13.
|
|||||||
GAME CHART
|
|||||||
6-5 (2-4
away)
|
pit
|
@
|
BAL
|
9-2 (5-0 home)
|
|||
avg DEF ppg
|
19.1
|
25.7
|
avg OFF ppg
|
||||
avg OFF ppg
|
21.0
|
19.9
|
avg DEF ppg
|
||||
pass DEF rank
|
1st
|
11th
|
pass OFF rank
|
||||
rush DEF rank
|
6th
|
21st
|
rush OFF rank
|
||||
pass OFF rank
|
15th
|
23rd
|
pass DEF rank
|
||||
rush OFF rank
|
22nd
|
26th
|
rush DEF rank
|
||||
defensive formation
|
3-4
|
3-4
|
defensive formation
|
||||
QB
Leftwich (OUT)
QB
Roethlisberger (OUT)
LB
Woodley (OUT)
T
Adams (OUT)
|
key injuries
|
TE Dickson (DOUB)
CB Smith (OUT)
|
|||||
FORECAST
|
|||||||
Cloudy
|
|||||||
STAT ALERT
|
|||||||
-
BAL
QB Flacco has 10 TD, 3 INT at home this season
-
PIT
WR Wallace has only 29 REC yds in his last 3 outings
|
|||||||
ANALYST INSIGHT
|
|||||||
The Ravens realize this is RB Ray Rice's time of
the season, and they will feed him often to seal the win – V. IYER
I expect the Ravens to earn a big win that helps
them pull away in the AFC North – M.D. SMITH
Even if PIT QB Big Ben does play, I’d still side
with the Ravens – D. BILICKI
|
|||||||
FINAL PREDICTION
|
|||||||
BAL
|
SU
|
vs
SPR
|
PIT (+8.5)
|
||||
BAL is a remarkably proficient ball club before their Maryland faithful.
The Ravens, in spite of their particularly leaky defence, have made M&T
Bank Stadium a haven over the course of the past two seasons, sporting an
immaculate 13-0 record when on home field. Nevertheless, in spite of their
obvious offensive limitations, the Steelers defence is not damaged in the
least and remains the hallmark of the NFL to date. Backup QB or not starting for
PIT, a TD+ cover is simply too large a spread for any one side here
considering the contestants involved storied history.
|
|||||||
PROPS CHART-PLAYERS
|
|||||||||||
Pro*Line
#
|
avg home
|
avg road
|
prediction
|
QB
|
prediction
|
avg road
|
avg home
|
Pro*Line
#
|
|||
N/A
|
OVER
|
20.2
|
23.0
|
20.5
|
Flacco
|
||||||
Pro*Line
#
|
avg home
|
avg road
|
prediction
|
RB
|
prediction
|
avg road
|
avg home
|
Pro*Line
#
|
|||
N/A
|
UNDER
|
79.7
|
63.2
|
68.5
|
Rice
|
||||||
Pro*Line
#
|
avg home
|
avg road
|
prediction
|
WR
|
prediction
|
avg road
|
avg home
|
Pro*Line
#
|
|||
Miller
|
3.4
|
5.7
|
OVER
|
4.0
|
5.2
|
4.5
|
Boldin
|
||||
Wallace
|
4.2
|
5.7
|
|||||||||
PROPS
CHART-FIELD
|
|||||||
season
total
|
avg game
|
prediction
|
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
|
Prediction
|
avg game
|
season
total
|
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
OVER
|
4.5
|
OVER
|
2.4
|
26
|
|
season
total
|
avg game
|
prediction
|
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg game
|
season
total
|
|
12
|
1.1
|
OVER
|
1.5
|
OVER
|
0.2
|
2
|
|
season
total
40+
|
avg game
40+
|
prediction
|
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg game
40+
|
season
total
40+
|
|
3
|
0.3
|
OVER
|
42.5
|
OVER
|
0.8
|
9
|
|
season
total
20+
|
avg game
20+
|
prediction
|
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg game
20+
|
season
total
20+
|
|
5
|
0.5
|
OVER
|
23.5
|
OVER
|
0.4
|
4
|
|
season
total
PTR yds
|
avg yds
PTR
|
prediction
|
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg yds
PTR
|
season
total
PTR yds
|
|
228
|
10.9
|
17.5
|
7.0
|
223
|
|||
season total
40-49+
|
season
total
50+
|
prediction
|
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
season
total
50+
|
season
total
40-49+
|
|
6-6
|
1-2
|
OVER
|
45.5
|
OVER
|
4-4
|
7-9
|
|
avg
quarter
|
avg half
|
prediction
|
SCORING
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg half
|
avg
quarter
|
|
5.3
|
10.5
|
1ST-17.5/2ND-17.5
|
12.9
|
6.5
|
|||
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