Sunday, 2 December 2012

SUNDAY (4PM): All Games



GAME CHART
6-5 (3-2 away)
tb
@
DEN
8-3 (4-1 home)
avg DEF ppg
23.1
28.9
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
28.2
20.1
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
32nd
6th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
1st
20th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
13th
5th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
11th
9th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
4-3
defensive formation
none
key injuries
none
FORECAST
Clear
STAT ALERT
-          TB has not lost a game by more than a TD all season
ANALYST INSIGHT
The Bucs are primed to shut down DEN’s six-game winning streak – J. REED

The Broncos have had trouble slowing shifty running backs such as TB RB Doug Martin and covering savvy tight ends such as TE Dallas Clark – V. IYER

DEN QB Manning will pick the Bucs’ defense apart. The best chance the Bucs have of keeping this game close is to control the ball by running RB Doug Martin, but in the end Manning will just have too much for Tampa Bay – M.D SMITH
FINAL PREDICTION
DEN
SU
vs SPR
TB (+7.5)
TB will be ripe for the picking for Broncos QB Manning & Co. this weekend in Denver. The Buccaneers have greatly overachieved expectations since their week 6 win over KC and have been riding high ever since. However, TBay’s achilles heel this season has been without a doubt their pass defence, a deficiency that will exposed without mercy this weekend at Mile High Stadium. TB has disguised their maligned secondary play with the immaculate offensive attack of duo QB Josh Freeman and RB Doug Martin in recent weeks. However, the Broncos own one of the NFL’s top ranked defensive units and, while also ranking 6th in overall total offence, are sure to demonstrate this Sunday why TB is still not quite ready to take their play to the next level of NFL competition.




GAME CHART
3-8 (0-5 away)
cle
@
OAK
3-8 (2-3 home)
avg DEF ppg
22.5
19.8
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
19.0
32.4
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
21st
8th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
19th
29th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
23rd
24th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
26th
28th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
4-3
defensive formation
CB Patterson (OUT)
S Ventrone (OUT)
S Young (OUT)
key injuries
LB McClain (OUT)
DE Crawford (OUT)
DT Seymour (OUT)
FORECAST
Cloudy with a chance of showers
STAT ALERT
-          OAK has allowed an avg of 42.2 ppg to opponents over their last 4 outings
-          Only one OAK lost has come by less than 8 pts this season
-          CLE has lost 12 straight road games
-          OAK has lost 4 straight games
-          CLE has allowed the fewest points to opposing TEs
ANALYST INSIGHT
Oakland should never be favored against anyone – B. POWER

Trent Richardson will lead the charge on offense and the Browns will win their fourth game of the season – J. REED

The Raiders' defense has plenty of (Black) holes, which sets up the Browns’ talented rookie triplets—RB Trent Richardson, WR Josh Gordon and QB Brandon Weeden—to have good days – V. IYER

The Browns will go into the Black Hole and come out with their first road win of the season – M.D. SMITH

I’d wager on the Browns defence here – D. BILICKI
FINAL PREDICTION
CLE
SU
vs SPR
CLE (-2.5)
The Oakland Raiders have, simply put, looked awful in recent weeks. Having not accrued a win since week 8 of the season, a victory which came over the lowly KC Chiefs, OAK-town has been the black hole of the NFL defensively of late having allowed an average of 42.2 ppg to opposition offences’ over the course of their past four outings. CLE has lost 12 straight road contests and possess many critical problems when attempting to maintain an offensive flow. That aside, CLEs defensive unit has competed far above what statistics indicate and is sure to lure Raiders QB Carson Palmer into crucial turnovers for scores in this matchup.
 

GAME CHART
6-5 (3-2 away)
cin
@
SD
4-7 (2-3 home)
avg DEF ppg
22.5
22.3
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
25.6
21.5
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
8th
18th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
17th
25th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
12th
20th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
14th
5th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
3-4
defensive formation
WR Sanu (OUT)
key injuries
LB Butler (OUT)
WR Royal (OUT)
TE Rosario (DOUB)
S Stuckey (OUT)
FORECAST
Cloudy
STAT ALERT
-          CIN QB Dalton has 9TD, 0 INT, 117.2 QB rating in his last 3 games
-          CIN on a three game win streak
ANALYST INSIGHT
CIN QB Andy Dalton and the running game are in the groove, and the defense is controlling the line and working well in coverage. The Chargers are doing none of those things, and they also are making mental mistakes. This is a game Cincy must win to earn a wild card – V. IYER
FINAL PREDICTION
CIN
SU
vs SPR
CIN (-2.5)
SD is a unit that has been slowly descending into the basement of the NFL over the course of the past few seasons. With a red-hot Bengals squad visiting the West Coast this weekend looking for a fight, not much is likely to change for the once formidable SuperChargers in terms of crucial losses (a loss in this spot would all but assure SD’s playoff hunt is kaput). The CIN connection of QB Dalton-to-WR Green has been the talk of the NFL all season and will leave fans in SD this Sunday sorely longing for the days when one of the most discussed combos was their contingent of QB Rivers-to-TE Gates. SD will not roll over for Cincy in this matchup. However, SD QB Rivers propensity for passing INTs will ensure his club a home loss at Qualcomm Stadium this week 13.   



GAME CHART
6-5 (2-4 away)
pit
@
BAL
9-2 (5-0 home)
avg DEF ppg
19.1
25.7
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
21.0
19.9
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
1st
11th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
6th
21st
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
15th
23rd
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
22nd
26th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
3-4
3-4
defensive formation
QB Leftwich (OUT)
QB Roethlisberger (OUT)
LB Woodley (OUT)
T Adams (OUT)
key injuries
TE Dickson (DOUB)
CB Smith (OUT)
FORECAST
Cloudy
STAT ALERT
-          BAL QB Flacco has 10 TD, 3 INT at home this season
-          PIT WR Wallace has only 29 REC yds in his last 3 outings
ANALYST INSIGHT
The Ravens realize this is RB Ray Rice's time of the season, and they will feed him often to seal the win – V. IYER

I expect the Ravens to earn a big win that helps them pull away in the AFC North – M.D. SMITH

Even if PIT QB Big Ben does play, I’d still side with the Ravens – D. BILICKI
FINAL PREDICTION
BAL
SU
vs SPR
PIT (+8.5)
BAL is a remarkably proficient ball club before their Maryland faithful. The Ravens, in spite of their particularly leaky defence, have made M&T Bank Stadium a haven over the course of the past two seasons, sporting an immaculate 13-0 record when on home field. Nevertheless, in spite of their obvious offensive limitations, the Steelers defence is not damaged in the least and remains the hallmark of the NFL to date. Backup QB or not starting for PIT, a TD+ cover is simply too large a spread for any one side here considering the contestants involved storied history.








PROPS CHART-PLAYERS



Pro*Line #
avg home
avg road
prediction
QB
prediction
avg road
avg home
Pro*Line #

N/A





OVER
20.2
23.0
20.5
Flacco

Pro*Line #
avg home
avg road
prediction
RB
prediction
avg road
avg home
Pro*Line #

N/A





UNDER
79.7
63.2
68.5
Rice

Pro*Line #
avg home
avg road
prediction
WR
prediction
avg road
avg home
Pro*Line #

Miller

3.4
5.7


OVER
4.0
5.2
4.5
Boldin
Wallace

4.2
5.7



















PROPS CHART-FIELD


season total
avg game
prediction
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
Prediction
avg game
season total
N/A
N/A
OVER
4.5
OVER
2.4
26
season total
avg game
prediction
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg game
season total
12
1.1
OVER
1.5
OVER
0.2
2
season total
40+
avg game
40+
prediction
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg game
40+
season total
40+
3
0.3
OVER
42.5
OVER
0.8
9
season total
20+
avg game
20+
prediction
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg game
20+
season total
20+
5
0.5
OVER
23.5
OVER
0.4
4
season total
PTR yds
avg yds PTR

prediction
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg yds PTR

season total
PTR yds
228
10.9

17.5

7.0
223
season total
40-49+
season total
50+
prediction
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
50+
season total
40-49+
6-6
1-2
OVER
45.5
OVER
4-4
7-9
avg quarter
avg half
prediction
SCORING
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
avg quarter
5.3
10.5

1ST-17.5/2ND-17.5

12.9
6.5

No comments:

Post a Comment