Sunday 23 December 2012

SUNDAY (1PM): All Games - PART I



GAME CHART
4-10 (1-5 away)
oak
@
CAR
5-9 (2-5 home)
avg DEF ppg
28.7
21.1
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
18.8
22.8
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
27th
15th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
21st
9th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
7th
10th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
29th
17th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
4-3
defensive formation
DT Seymour (OUT)
key injuries
C Hangartner (DOUB)
FORECAST
Cloudy
STAT ALERT
-          CAR has only one win on the season by more than a FGM
-          CAR is the NFLs least penalized team for the season
-          CAR has allowed 150+ rush yds to opposition in their last 2 losses
-          OAK defence has surrendered the most points in the league
ANALYST INSIGHT
Raiders are bad but not enough to decline this offering – R. THE HANDLE

The Panthers will leave the Silver and Black black and blue – V. IYER

If one thing’s true, it’s that Cam Newton can sure beat up on bad defences. The Raiders are just that – D. BILICKI
FINAL PREDICTION
CAR
SU
vs SPR
OAK (+10.0)
How is it a club that has won only 1/3 of its games for the season and sporting only one more win than their visiting adversary garnering a TD+FGM spread? Good question. OAKtown still ranks within the top-10 in the league in passing offence and, with Raiders RB Run DMC back in the mix and the Panthers run defence having allowed over 150 rush yds to opponents in its two losses dating back no later than week 11, expect a tighter game than many spreads suggest this weekend in Charlotte.




GAME CHART
6-8 (2-5 away)
nwo
@
DAL
8-6 (4-3 home)
avg DEF ppg
27.1
23.4
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
27.8
24.1
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
31st
4th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
31st
31st
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
2nd
14th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
24th
15th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
3-4
defensive formation
RB Collins (OUT)
key injuries
DT Ratliff (OUT)
FORECAST
N/A
STAT ALERT
-          Since week 12, NWO defence has held SF, ATL & NYG to under 260 yds total passing yds
-          DAL hasn’t had an RB run for 100+ yds since week 1
-          DAL RB Murray avg 6.0 rush yds per carry vs PIT in week 15
-          DAL has 6 turnovers in last 7 games
ANALYST INSIGHT
NWO QB Drew Brees in a bit of groove right now and that spells trouble for oppositions – R. THE HANDLE

DAL QB Romo will keep Dallas ahead and help Jason Garrett make sure Sean Payton stays in New Orleans in 2013 – V. IYER

The Dallas secondary is going to struggle mightily against the Saints’ passing attack – M.D. SMITH

The Saints’ abundance of receivers is going to give the Cowboys a lot of trouble – D. BILICKI
FINAL PREDICTION
DAL
SU
vs SPR
DAL (-2.5)
The NFC is a tight race at the moment with a number of 8-6 clubs fighting tooth-and-nail for a shot at both their division crown and/or a Wild Card berth. The Cowboys need this win to keep their playoff hopes alive and kicking. NWO knows their season is already over. With the potential to end out 2012-13 with a .500 record and a window open to knock off a potential playoff contender whilst doing so, don’t expect the Saints to take this game lightly. That said, DAL QB Romo has posted one of the strongest statistical seasons of his career for the ‘Boys this campaign and, with a steadfast defence on his side and the opportunity to take the NFC East crown for the first time since 2009 available, DAL at home is a strong bet this weekend.




GAME CHART
5-9 (2-5 away)
ten
@
GB
10-4 (6-1 home)
avg DEF ppg
28.3
24.6
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
20.4
20.9
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
19th
13th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
25th
20th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
21st
16th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
19th
14th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
3-4
defensive formation
C Matthews (OUT)
key injuries
WR Nelson (OUT)
RB Starks (OUT)
TE Crabtree (OUT)
DE Wilson (OUT)
FORECAST
Cloudy
STAT ALERT
--
ANALYST INSIGHT
Green Bay in December is a tough place to play, and the Packers won’t have too much trouble putting the Titans away – M.D. SMITH

The Pack will win this one, but won’t pull out all the stops – D. BILICKI
FINAL PREDICTION
GB
SU
vs SPR
TEN (+14.0)
Sure, the Jets are a lowly team whose playoff aspirations for this season bore little fruit at best. That said, TEN knocked them out of the 2012-13 playoff contention during the most watched game of the week last MNF. GBay is not the Jets and are one of the strongest teams in the league when playing on home field, especially in the cold. However, 2 TD spreads are a hard cover for any NFL club and, with Titans potential Pro Bowl RB Johnson set to make swiss cheese of the Packers mediocre at best rush defence, a 10-pt or less loss is more likely in the cards for TEN in this spot.




GAME CHART
8-6 (2-5 away)
min
@
HOU
12-2 (6-1 home)
avg DEF ppg
22.0
28.1
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
22.8
20.0
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
23rd
11th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
13th
5th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
32nd
18th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
4th
5th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
3-4
defensive formation
none
key injuries
CB Ball (OUT)
FORECAST
N/A
STAT ALERT
MIN RB Peterson has 1313 rush yds & 9 TDs in his past 8 games; is 294 rush yds shy of the NFL single season record; is averaging 6.3 yds per rush this season
-          HOU DE Watt is 3.5 sacks shy of the NFL single season record
-          MIN QB Ponder is averaging 5.9 yds per pass attempt this season
ANALYST INSIGHT
While MIN RB Peterson should get a good chunk to move closer to Eric Dickerson's record, HOU DE Watt will rattle MIN QB Ponder and help give the Texans a win that locks up home-field advantage for the playoffs – V. IYER

The Texans will clinch home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs by spanking the Vikings, and the loss will severely damage the Vikings’ playoff hopes – M.D. SMITH
FINAL PREDICTION
HOU
SU
vs SPR
HOU (-8.0)
The flaw Texans opponents have been preying on of late has been the club’s inability to stop the pass attack. That shouldn’t be a problem this weekend when the NFLs lowliest of pass offences makes a visit to Reliant Stadium. MIN RB Peterson will give it his very best try to keep his crew in this game, especially with the NFL single season rush yard record within striking distance and a playoff berth on the line. That said, HOU has lost only one game at home this season, is a win away from a first-round playoff bye and sports a top-5 NFL rush defence. With GB on tap for week 17, MINs season is all but assuredly over for the 2012-13 campaign and that ending begins this weekend in the Lone Star state.




GAME CHART
10-4 (5-2 away)
ne
@
JAX
2-12 (1-6 home)
avg DEF ppg
22.5
15.6
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
36.1
27.4
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
29th
24th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
11th
30th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
3rd
24th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
8th
32nd
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
4-3
defensive formation
none
key injuries
RB Jones-Drew (OUT)
RB Jennings (OUT)
FORECAST
Cloudy
STAT ALERT
-          NE needs 84 pts to break NFL single season team scoring record
-          JAX WR Blackmon has been targeted by his QB 23 times in his last 2 games
ANALYST INSIGHT
Jacksonville can't score while Patriots can inflict damage to Jags porous defence – R. THE HANDLE

After last week's disappointing home loss to the 49ers, the Patriots will take out their frustrations on the Jaguars – V. IYER

The Patriots can’t be feeling good about themselves after Sunday night’s loss to the 49ers. They’ll take it out on the Jaguars in the day’s biggest blowout – M.D. SMITH

The Patriots aren’t a team that will let up on the gas, especially with their own NFL scoring record in sight – D. BILICKI
FINAL PREDICTION
NE
SU
vs SPR
JAX (+16.0)
Everyone knows the Pats will win in this spot - the discussion that lingers is by how much and at what potential cost. How much will the NE offence exert itself to prove last weekend’s loss at home to SF was an aberration? How much will the Pats sacrifice in terms of potential injuries to beat down a beleaguered NFL squad? and finally, What would a convincing road victory vs a lowly Jags team prove with regard to NEs strength as an all-around team? The answer is not much to all the queries above. Historically NE does not allow the opportunity to manhandle a struggling squad slip away, end of the Regular Season or not within sight, and that philosophy is not likely to change this Sunday afternoon. However, to bet against an NFL squad on their home turf to lose by more than two TDs is, quite simply put, never a good play.

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