Sunday, 9 December 2012

SUNDAY (1PM): All Games - PART II


GAME CHART
4-8 (2-4 away)
sd
@
PIT
7-5 (4-1 home)
avg DEF ppg
21.4
21.2
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
21.5
19.2
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
21st
14th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
6th
24th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
18th
1st
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
26th
5th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
3-4
3-4
defensive formation
WR Royal (OUT)
LB Butler (OUT)
T Clary (OUT)
key injuries
LB Woodley (OUT)
T Adams (OUT)
CB Taylor (OUT)
FORECAST
Cloudy with a chance of showers
STAT ALERT
-          SD QB Rivers has only 1 TD, 1 INT in his past 2 outings
ANALYST INSIGHT
San Diego has been very tough defending against the run, and the Steelers running game has been average at best this season – J. SCHULE

Pittsburgh is content to outgun San Diego in what has the makings of a fun December matchup in the Steel City – S. MURPHY

The Steelers play their best in crunch time, and the Chargers play their worst in crunch time – M.D. SMITH

The Steelers’ defense will stamp this win – V. IYER

SD QB Philip Rivers is bound to throw a pick or three against the Pittsburgh Steelers this week – J. REED

The Chargers don’t stand a chance – D. BILICKI
FINAL PREDICTION
PIT
SU
vs SPR
SD (+8.0)
The Chargers are currently mired in yet another bad season. Regardless, SD has played well enough this season to garner less than a TD+ spread on the road, West-to-East Coast travel or not. PIT is a powerhouse on their home field and will be bringing the big guns this weekend with Ben Roethlisberger almost assuredly set to return to action for Steeltown at QB. Then again, a rusty Field General playing through a particularly painful injury (broken ribs) is not a strong model for success, especially since his club’s offensive attack will certainly sit upon his shoulders considering the proficiency of SD at preventing the rush attack of opponents this season. The Chargers .250 winning percentage for the 2012-13 campaign is entirely indicative of their turnover ratio. If SD can minimize the amount of times they hand the ball over this weekend to the top-ranked defence in the NFL (a hefty task), this game could come down to the wire.



GAME CHART
3-9 (1-5 away)
phi
@
TB
6-6 (3-3 home)
avg DEF ppg
26.7
27.8
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
18.1
23.8
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
16th
12th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
18th
11th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
17th
32nd
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
9th
1st
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
4-3
defensive formation
QB Vick (OUT)
DT Patterson (OUT)
RB McCoy (OUT)
S Coleman (OUT)
key injuries
CB Lewis (OUT)
FORECAST
Cloudy
STAT ALERT
-          PHI has lost 8 straight games
-          TB QB Freeman has 18 TDs in his last 8 outings
ANALYST INSIGHT
After being slowed in Denver, Bucs running back Doug Martin and wide receiver Vincent Jackson will deliver big for TB – V. IYER

PHI RB Bryce Brown will finally hit a wall he can't run past in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers No. 1-ranked run defense and QB Nick Foles won't be able to pick up the slack – J. REED
FINAL PREDICTION
TB
SU
vs SPR
TB (-8.0)
The Eagles are simply playing out their season schedule now. Having officially proclaimed rookie QB Nick Foles their starter for the remainder of the 2012-13 campaign earlier this week, PHI is on a warpath for the first overall pick this coming April and will assuredly test even more youngster candidates at what were once veteran-laden field positions as the weeks continue to press on. TBay, in spite of a couple of tough losses vs league-leading squads of late, continue to play at a high level and should dump the early season Super Bowl selection Eagles this weekend at Raymond James Stadium by a considerable margin.



GAME CHART
9-3 (4-2 away)
bal
@
WAS
6-6 (3-3 home)
avg DEF ppg
20.2
26.0
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
25.2
25.1
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
23rd
21st
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
23rd
1st
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
15th
31st
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
23rd
4th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
3-4
4-3
defensive formation
CB Smith (DOUB)
TE Dickson (OUT)
LB Ellerbe (OUT)
key injuries
none
FORECAST
Cloudy with a chance of showers
STAT ALERT
-          WAS has won their last three straight games
-          BAL QB Flacco has 4 TD, 4 INT in 6 road games this season
-          WAS QB RGIII has 9TD, 1 INT, 185 rush yds in his last 3 games
ANALYST INSIGHT
Value lies with the visitor here – R. THE HANDLE

Baltimore is a paper tiger, and the Redskins are primed to catch them… The Redskins are the better of these two teams right now, regardless of what the records say.  Asking them to win by a FG at home seems perfectly reasonable – T. COVERS

The Ravens’ run defense is terrible, and the Redskins’ run offense is excellent. Washington will rush for 200 yards and win a tough, physical game – M.D. SMITH

The Ravens have been very good at rebounding from tough losses under John Harbaugh, and they will grind out a victory in their backyard – V. IYER

given the way the Redskins defense has come on strong of late, BAL QB Flacco is in for another bad road game – J. REED
FINAL PREDICTION
WAS
SU
vs SPR
WAS (-2.5)
The Redskins will remain in the race for the NFC East crown this weekend with a marginal win over the traveling Ravens. BAL has witnessed their defence slowly dissolve into disrepair as the weeks have worn on this 2012-13 campaign and not much is likely to change this Sunday when they square off against their around the block geographic rivals, the Washington Redskins. QB RGIIIs & RB Alfred Morris have instilled a dynamic offensive attack of late for the ‘Skins, one to which many NFL squads have had considerable trouble managing. Vs a particularly soft Ravens defence whose play considerably drops when outside the state of Maryland, expect a FGM edge for WAS in this spot.



GAME CHART
8-4 (3-2 away)
chi
@
MIN
6-6 (5-1 home)
avg DEF ppg
22.7
24.5
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
21.8
16.5
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
14th
31st
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
14th
10th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
32nd
7th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
3rd
10th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
4-3
defensive formation
none
key injuries
none
FORECAST
N/A
STAT ALERT
-          CHI has lost 3 of their last 4 games
-          MIN has lost 4 of their last 5 games
-          MIN RB Peterson leads NFL in rush yds
ANALYST INSIGHT
Depleted Bears must head to Minnesota's dome and take on a team that is fighting for a wild card spot while looking to avenge earlier loss – R. THE HANDLE

I expect MIN RB Peterson to have a hay day at home against the depleted Bears defence – A. ARONSON

Playing against the struggling MIN QB Christian Ponder is just the thing to cure what ails the Bears – M.D. SMITH

The Vikings’ defense will be physical and get to CHI QB Jay Cutler enough to steal a close one – V. IYER

MIN RB Adrian Peterson will still get his yards, but the Bears will win – J. REED

The Bears may be banged up but the Vikings have zero passing game – D. BILICKI
FINAL PREDICTION
CHI
SU
vs SPR
MIN (+3.0)
In what will be one of the most hotly contested matchups of the weekend, expect Da Bears to edge out a win over division opponent Minnesota this weekend at the Mall of America Field. The Vikes have witnessed their early season overachievements slowly dwindle away with the absence of star WR Percy Harvin from the lineup. RB Adrian Peterson has been the saving grace of Minny’s offensive season, making up for the shortcomings of his club’s recent woeful pass attack by amassing the most rush yards in the NFL for the 2012-13 campaign to date. With CHIs passing offence ranked dead last in the league at the moment and their run defence merely sitting mid-pack in team standings, expect the legs of RB Peterson to challenge Da Bears all afternoon to prove their worth for what was once earlier this season an assumed playoff berth. This could be a big stepping stone for CHI at righting their ship before the postseason.








PROPS CHART-PLAYERS



Pro*Line #
avg home
avg road
prediction
QB
prediction
avg road
avg home
Pro*Line #

Cutler
19.5
18.8
17.8
UNDER


20.5
19.5

Ponder

Pro*Line #
avg home
avg road
prediction
RB
prediction
avg road
avg home
Pro*Line #

Forte

65.5
71.2



123.5
117.5
109.5
Peterson

Pro*Line #
avg home
avg road
prediction
WR
prediction
avg road
avg home
Pro*Line #

Marshall
6.5
8.4
6.4
OVER


4.4
4.6

Rudolph























PROPS CHART-FIELD


season total
avg game
prediction
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
Prediction
avg game
season total
29
2.4
OVER
4.5
OVER
2.3
27
season total
avg game
prediction
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg game
season total
7
0.6
OVER
1.5
OVER
0.8
10
season total
40+
avg game
40+
prediction
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg game
40+
season total
40+
4
0.3
UNDER
42.5
UNDER
0.2
2
season total
20+
avg game
20+
prediction
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg game
20+
season total
20+
8
0.7
OVER
28.5
OVER
1.8
21
season total
PTR yds
avg yds PTR

prediction
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg yds PTR

season total
PTR yds
75
3.9
UNDER
16.5
UNDER
7.2
210
season total
40-49+
season total
50+
prediction
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
50+
season total
40-49+
7-9
2-2
OVER
45.5
OVER
5-5
5-7
avg quarter
avg half
prediction
SCORING
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
avg quarter
5.5
10.9

1ST-19.5/2ND-19.5

12.3
6.2

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