Sunday, 30 December 2012

SUNDAY (1PM): All Games - PART II



GAME CHART
4-11 (2-5 away)
phi
@
NYG
8-7 (5-2 home)
avg DEF ppg
26.8
25.8
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
18.2
22.5
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
11th
12th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
22nd
17th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
14th
28th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
11th
25th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
4-3
defensive formation
LB Kendricks (OUT)
DT Cox (OUT)
TE Moore (DOUB)
key injuries
CB Amukamara (DOUB)
CB Hosley (DOUB)
DT Canty (DOUB)
FORECAST
Cloudy
STAT ALERT
-          NYG QB Manning has not passed for 300+ yds in 8 weeks
-          PHI has 1 win in their last 11 outings
ANALYST INSIGHT
PHI is forced to start QB Michael Vick. That is not a good thing considering backup QB Foles had a rhythm going that Vick never found and this will likely be Vick’s last game as an Eagle – R. THE HANDLE

The Eagles have gotten a little better play on defense lately, and the healthy presence of a driven QB Vick and RB LeSean McCoy are mild trump cards – V. IYER

The Giants are playing for pride, along with a sliver of hope that they could make it to the playoffs if enough other teams lose.  If the Giants find a way in, there’s a pretty good chance they won’t lose again – M. FLORIO

The Eagles aren’t going to let up against their hated rivals and QB Mike Vick will be playing with something to prove – D. BILICKI
FINAL PREDICTION
NYG
SU
vs SPR
PHI (+7.5)
Eagles QB Michael Vick will make a game of this outing. With potential suitors intently watching (PHI undoubtedly will release the QB in the off-season), Vick is sure to put on a show this weekend at the Meadowlands before the New Jersey faithful. With a playoff berth still tabled for the reigning Super Bowl champions, expect NYG QB Eli Manning & Co. to force the issue against the Eagles Achilles heel, their defence, in this spot, a unit that remains as susceptible as any in the league to the big play. Regardless of all the above, however, no matter the outcome of this matchup, the end result is almost assuredly meaningless for either squad involved.




GAME CHART
5-10 (1-6 away)
cle
@
PIT
7-8 (4-3 home)
avg DEF ppg
22.9
20.8
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
19.5
20.3
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
27th
11th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
19th
26th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
20th
1st
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
25th
2nd
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
3-4
defensive formation
RB Richardson (OUT)
key injuries
LB McFadden (OUT)
CB Brown (OUT)
T Adams (OUT)
WR Wallace (OUT)
FORECAST
Cloudy
STAT ALERT
N/A
ANALYST INSIGHT
The Browns are beat up on offense and may have a scaled-back game plan, which is not the best way to handle everything that Dick LeBeau and the Steelers' defense can throw at an inexperienced team – V. IYER

The Browns have gone in the tank over the last couple of weeks, and at this point I’m not sure I’d pick them to win on the road against anyone – M.D. SMITH

With rampant changes looming in Cleveland, the Steelers still have enough gas in the tank to avoid getting punked by the franchise they’ve owned since 1999 – M. FLORIO
FINAL PREDICTION
PIT
SU
vs SPR
PIT (NL)
The Steelers are near an immortal lock at Heinz Field most seasons. Though the club faltered before their faithful fan base this 2012-13 campaign on numerous occasions (a factor that all but assured their playoff knockout this season), a final home game win vs a Browns squad minus their greatest offensive weapon, RB Trent Richardson, is a no-brainer pick. Don’t expect a thumping of the Browns here as CLE is a division rival and has proven a formidable foe at times this season to many an opponent. Nevertheless, rest assured a Regular Season concluding record of .500 is all but guaranteed as of 4PM EST this Sunday for Steeltown.




GAME CHART
2-13 (1-6 away)
jax
@
TEN
5-10 (3-4 home)
avg DEF ppg
27.1
19.5
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
15.7
30.1
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
24th
21st
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
31st
21st
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
22nd
26th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
30th
23rd
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
4-3
defensive formation
G Nwaneri (OUT)
key injuries
none
FORECAST
Sunny
STAT ALERT
-          JAX has scored on average 12 ppg in their last 4 outings
ANALYST INSIGHT
Jaguars tripped up Titans in earlier meeting this season and losing twice to this hapless divisional opponent is not an option – R. THE HANDLE

Look for a lot of handoffs to TEN RB Chris Johnson, who can speed through Jacksonville's defense for good chunks of yards. The Jaguars’ offense will attack well through the air with QB Chad Henne, but the absence of top receiver Cecil Shorts hurts – V. IYER

Last time the Titans suffered a humiliating blowout loss and were called out by their owner, they responded by winning the next game. I think they’ll do it again – M.D. SMITH

No sense in the Jags ruining their chance to pick first overall, right? – D. BILICKI
FINAL PREDICTION
TEN
SU
vs SPR
TEN (-5.5)
As ugly a game as they come. Home field advantage, RB Chris Johnson’s return to Pro Bowl form and a big play young QB in the making should all but guarantee a convincing victory by the Titans over the toothless Jags this weekend in Nashville. JAX QB Henne will attempt to make big plays in this division matchup as his performance here will hold weight as to where he signs in the off-season as a backup QB. Nevertheless, the injured state of star-to-be wideout Cecil Shorts III will greatly hinder his pass attack aspirations and will all but assure a one-sided final result in this effort for TEN.




GAME CHART
10-5 (4-3 away)
bal
@
CIN
9-6 (3-4 home)
avg DEF ppg
21.4
24.5
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
25.4
20.2
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
17th
16th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
24th
14th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
13th
10th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
15th
8th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
3-4
4-3
defensive formation
none
key injuries
K Nugent (OUT)
FORECAST
Sunny
STAT ALERT
-          CIN has won 6 of last 7 games
-          BAL TE Pitta has a TD in 4 of last 5 games
ANALYST INSIGHT
CIN coach Marvin Lewis will employ a regular lineup while BAL coach John Harbaugh will preserve his guys – R. THE HANDLE

I think the Ravens will be a little more motivated to build on the momentum from last week’s win over the Giants and will take this one – M.D. SMITH

Nothing at stake here, so take the points, even if it is under a field goal – D. BILICKI
FINAL PREDICTION
CIN
SU
vs SPR
CIN (-2.5)
BAL appeared like the well-oiled teams of Ravens yore last week in their convincing home victory over the reigning Super Bowl champions, the New York Giants. With that in mind, look for the club to ease back on the throttle this weekend and preserve the good head space and health of their crew for their coming playoff run. The Bengals have been a vulnerable squad when on home field this season, one of the few winning teams in the NFL with a losing record before their local faithful. Look for Nasty ‘Nati head coach Marvin Lewis to push hard for a win this weekend with the looming possibility of yet another first-round knockout dangling over his ball club’s collective heads.










Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
QB
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Flacco
20.5
19.6


OVER
21.0
21.5
Dalton

Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
RB
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Rice (N/A)
82.5
85.6
UNDER


68.9

Green-Ellis

Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
WR
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Boldin

3.9


OVER
5.3
6.5
Green










avg sacks
prediction
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg sacks
2.3
UNDER
5.5
UNDER
2.9
season total
prediction
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
5
UNDER
1.5
UNDER
10
season total
40+
prediction
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
40+
12
OVER
45.5
OVER
13
season total
20+
prediction
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
20+
8
OVER
25.5
OVER
13
season total
50+
season total
40-49
prediction
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
40-49
season total
50+
4-4
9-11

45.5

6-9
1-2
avg yds PTR
prediction
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg yds PTR
8.0
UNDER
17.5
UNDER
7.8
avg half
prediction
1ST HALF
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
12.7
OVER
20.5
OVER
12.3
avg half
prediction
2ND HALF
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
12.7

20.5

12.3

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