Sunday 30 December 2012

SUNDAY (1PM): All Games - PART I


GAME CHART
6-9 (3-4 away)
tb
@
ATL
13-2 (7-0 home)
avg DEF ppg
25.1
26.8
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
24.5
18.5
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
32nd
5th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
1st
28th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
9th
23rd
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
16th
20th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
4-3
defensive formation
G Allen (DOUB)
key injuries
CB Owens (OUT)
S Moore (OUT)
FORECAST
N/A
STAT ALERT
-          TB has lost 5 straight games
-          TB allowing league worst 310+ pass yds per game
ANALYST INSIGHT
ATL QB Matt Ryan will connect with fellow Pro Bowler WRs Julio Jones and Roddy White to burn the Buccaneers' secondary early. Then he can turn the game over to Atlanta's defense, which has played very well at home. Expect TB QB Josh Freeman's interception woes to continue – V. IYER

ATL shouldn’t have much trouble winning against the Bucs, who have collapsed at the end of the season – M.D. SMITH

The Falcons have clinched home-field throughout the playoffs, so look for their starters to get a lot of rest – D. BILICKI
FINAL PREDICTION
ATL
SU
vs SPR
TB (+5.5)
Having already sewn up a first-round playoff bye, the Falcons at home are still a strong play this weekend vs a division rival Buccaneers squad that has all but thrown in the towel. TBay appeared sharp throughout the middle-half of their Regular Season campaign, their offense running on all cyclinders and their defence holding opponent offensive totals at bay. However, since suffering a heartbreaking one-point defeat at the hands of this very same ATL squad way back in week 12 on their home field, the club has simply not looked the same. Starters or not in the lineup for the Falcons, prospective glory on the horizon and an exceptionally porous Bucs pass defence should ensure a victory for the Dirty Birds this weekend at the Georgia Dome.



GAME CHART
6-9 (3-4 away)
nyj
@
BUF
5-10 (3-4 home)
avg DEF ppg
23.1
21.1
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
18.1
28.4
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
2nd
24th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
27th
6th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
30th
13th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
12th
32nd
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
4-3
defensive formation
TE Keller (DOUB)
LB Thomas (DOUB)
QB McElroy (DOUB)
CB Berry (OUT)
WR Schilens (DOUB)
key injuries
TE Chandler (OUT)
S Searcy (OUT)
DE Anderson (OUT)
FORECAST
Cloudy with a chance of snow
STAT ALERT
-          NYJ O-Line allowed 3rd string QB McElroy to be sacked 11 times in week 16
-          NYJ have not amassed 300+ total offensive yds in 4 straight games
ANALYST INSIGHT
The Jets are a disaster and deserve to be humiliated – B. POWER

Buffalo celebrates the news of a new lease with a home win to end the season – M. FLORIO

You want to bet on Mark Sanchez after being benched for a third-string QB? Go right ahead – D. BILICKI
FINAL PREDICTION
BUF
SU
vs SPR
NYJ (+4.5)
The Jets will be far from a walk-over this weekend in Western New York - too bad it’s week 17 of the season and NY’s playoff hopes road off into the sunset during the final MNF matchup of the season not two weeks ago. The J-E-T-S immaculate pass defence and ability to run the ball, not to mention their irrefutable familiarity with this Buffalo squad, will ensure a competitive final tally at Ralph Wilson Stadium this coming Sunday. That said, with home field and one of the league’s most explosive running backs on their side, the Bills are a good bet to win their final home game of the 2012-13 campaign.



GAME CHART
9-6 (4-3 away)
chi
@
DET
4-11 (2-5 home)
avg DEF ppg
16.9
23.2
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
23.3
27.4
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
6th
1st
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
9th
23rd
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
29th
14th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
9th
18th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
4-3
defensive formation
S Conte (OUT)
LB Costanzo (OUT)
LB Urlacher (DOUB)
key injuries
none
FORECAST
N/A
STAT ALERT
-          CHI defence has scored 9 TDs this season
-          CHI has won only 1 of their last 4 games
-          DET has lost 7 straight games
-          CHI has lost 5 of their last 7 games ; offence averaging 16.1 ppg during that stretch
ANALYST INSIGHT
The Bears' defense thrives at capitalizing on opponents' miscues, and it will help the offense enough for Chicago to complete one-half of the team’s playoff formula. A Minnesota loss is the other half – V. IYER

I’ll take the Lions to get their revenge in an upset – M.D. SMITH
FINAL PREDICTION
CHI
SU
vs SPR
DET (+4.5)
The Lions will not lie down and die in this spot. Sporting a passing offence that is unrivalled throughout the league, DET will challenge CHI all game long in this week 17 showdown to prove they are worthy of the final NFC Wild Card spot for the 2012-13 NFL campaign. Though a victory this weekend would hardly prove Da Bears have what it takes to win this coming post-season, it would serve as a stepping stone on the right path considering the club is set to face an opponent that will surely be salivating at the opportunity to bring a halt to a division rival’s playoff aspirations. In the end, however, CHIs defensive prowess will safeguard a win this Sunday at Ford Field – period.



GAME CHART
12-3 (6-1 away)
hou
@
IND
10-5 (6-1 home)
avg DEF ppg
20.2
21.9
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
26.7
24.7
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
16th
7th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
7th
22nd
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
15th
19th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
7th
30th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
3-4
3-4
defensive formation
CB Ball (OUT)
key injuries
C Satele (OUT)
DE Redding (OUT)
DT Johnson (OUT)
RB Carter (OUT)
FORECAST
N/A
STAT ALERT
-          HOU has lost 2 of their last 3 games
ANALYST INSIGHT
Texans are playing for home field and a first-round bye while Colts are locked into the fifth seed…Colts are a good fade proposition – R. THE HANDLE

As we just saw two weeks ago, the Colts' offensive line doesn't match up very well against HOU DE J.J. Watt and the Texans' swarming 3-4 front. That should lead to a lot more hits on IND QB Andrew Luck – V. IYER

Houston has more to play for and is a better team and will win this one going away – M.D. SMITH

Even if the Colts leave so much on the field that it will make it harder to win in the playoffs, they’ll leave it all on the field to beat the Texans – M. FLORIO
FINAL PREDICTION
HOU
SU
vs SPR
IND (+6.5)
One-win shy of a perfect home record for the 2012-13 campaign, the Colts are still being dogged a TD in this matchup to a travelling divisional opponent. Seem odd? IND QB Andrew Luck will feel immense pressure all game long from what is sure to be league’s Defensive Player of the Year, HOU DE JJ Watt. That said, the Texans pass defence has been exceptionally leaky of late with all the injuries that have cropped up in the secondary and Colts WR Wayne will exploit CB mismatches throughout this matchup as a result. With a first-round bye on the line, rest assured the Texans will walk away from this game victorious. Then again, don’t bet the farm on HOU laying a drubbing on a quickly ascending ball club on their home turf.



GAME CHART
6-9 (3-4 away)
car
@
NWO
7-8 (4-3 home)
avg DEF ppg
21.7
28.2
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
20.9
27.3
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
8th
2nd
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
15th
24th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
17th
31st
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
10th
29th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
4-3
defensive formation
none
key injuries
RB Thomas (OUT)
CB Greer (OUT)
DT Hicks (OUT)
FORECAST
N/A
STAT ALERT
-          6 of 9 CAR losses this season have been by 6-pts or less
-          CAR have won 4 of their last 5 games
-          CAR has only 2 wins this season by more than a FGM
ANALYST INSIGHT
NWO QB Brees gets the edge in a Superdome shootout – V. IYER

I like the Panthers to keep their winning streak going and make a statement that they’re a team to keep an eye on in 2013 – M.D. SMITH
FINAL PREDICTION
NWO
SU
vs SPR
CAR (+6.5)
The Panthers have appeared to have found their groove - too bad it took 11 weeks deep into the Regular Season for the wins to start piling up. CAR QB Cam Newton continues to lead his squad to victories of late, though the level of opponent which he has defeated, outside of the Falcons (a division rival), is far from impressive in stature. With a win this weekend at home, NWO will ensure a .500 record for their 2012-13 campaign, a season in which the club saw their head coach & a number of integral defensive presences suspended, lost their first 4 games out of the gate and choked in any and all meaningful matchups that could have induced post-season berths. With a road loss to their name already vs the suspect Panthers this season, look for the Saints to return the favour in an otherwise meaningless game at the Superdome this weekend in Louisiana.

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