GAME CHART
|
|||||||
2-9 (1-4
away)
|
jax
|
@
|
BUF
|
4-7 (2-2 home)
|
|||
avg DEF ppg
|
28.0
|
22.1
|
avg OFF ppg
|
||||
avg OFF ppg
|
17.1
|
29.0
|
avg DEF ppg
|
||||
pass DEF rank
|
28th
|
25th
|
pass OFF rank
|
||||
rush DEF rank
|
29th
|
7th
|
rush OFF rank
|
||||
pass OFF rank
|
26th
|
18th
|
pass DEF rank
|
||||
rush OFF rank
|
31st
|
31st
|
rush DEF rank
|
||||
defensive formation
|
4-3
|
4-3
|
defensive formation
|
||||
RB
Jones-Drew (OUT)
CB
Cox (OUT)
DE
Lane (OUT)
|
key injuries
|
DE Anderson (OUT)
DE Kelsay (OUT)
|
|||||
FORECAST
|
|||||||
Clodu with a chance of showers
|
|||||||
STAT ALERT
|
|||||||
-
JAX
QB Henne was sacked 7 times and threw 1 INT in week 12 vs TEN
-
JAX
offence ranked last in the NFL
|
|||||||
ANALYST INSIGHT
|
|||||||
Even if JAX QB Henne has improved the offense,
JAX still have a terrible defense, plus the Bills have a big special teams
edge – M.D. SMITH
|
|||||||
FINAL PREDICTION
|
|||||||
BUF
|
SU
|
vs
SPR
|
JAX (+5.5)
|
||||
With their starting RB & QB out of the lineup, JAX has not
only competed at a higher level, they’ve been winning ball games. Backup QB
Chad Henne has provided stability for the Jaguars offence after taking over
for injured second-year QB Blaine Gabbert two weeks ago and seems intent on
keeping the position if/when Gabbert is healthy enough to return to action.
So long as rising star wideouts Shorts & Blackmon can keep making plays
in the backfield, there is no reason to believe the floundering Buffalo
Bills, homefield advantage or not, can beat up on the Jags this Sunday
afternoon at Ralph Wilson Stadium to the tune of a near TD spread. In fact,
as diametrically opposite as it may sound to just a few weeks prior, JAX
looks like a notably better ball club than BUF.
|
GAME CHART
|
|||||||
6-5 (1-5
away)
|
sea
|
@
|
CHI
|
8-3 (5-1 home)
|
|||
avg DEF ppg
|
16.8
|
25.2
|
avg OFF ppg
|
||||
avg OFF ppg
|
19.9
|
15.9
|
avg DEF ppg
|
||||
pass DEF rank
|
3rd
|
32nd
|
pass OFF rank
|
||||
rush DEF rank
|
12th
|
10th
|
rush OFF rank
|
||||
pass OFF rank
|
31st
|
6th
|
pass DEF rank
|
||||
rush OFF rank
|
8th
|
8th
|
rush DEF rank
|
||||
defensive formation
|
4-3
|
4-3
|
defensive formation
|
||||
none
|
key injuries
|
WR Hester (OUT)
WR Jeffery (DOUB)
G Spencer (OUT)
|
|||||
FORECAST
|
|||||||
Cloudy
|
|||||||
STAT ALERT
|
|||||||
-
SEAs
largest road loss of the season is a TD; averaging 5-pt differential in road
losses this season
-
CHI
defence has forced 2+ turnovers in 10 of their last 11 games
|
|||||||
ANALYST INSIGHT
|
|||||||
A field goal should decide this one – R. THE
HANDLE
The biggest issue the Seahawks face will be
rookie QB Russell Wilson against the Bears' vaunted defense, which I expect
to force two or more turnovers – J. REED
CHI QB Jay Cutler's guts will help his offense
grind out enough points against a stingy Seahawks defense – V. IYER
CHI QB Jay Cutler knows how to avoid the pressure
and deliver the ball, and the Seahawks still haven’t learned how to win on
the road – V. IYER
|
|||||||
FINAL PREDICTION
|
|||||||
CHI
|
SU
|
vs
SPR
|
SEA (+4.5)
|
||||
SEA has held their own while traveling this season, averaging
losses by five points per contest and having yet to be defeated by more than
a TD while on the road. The Bears offence is entirely driven by QB Cutler
getting the ball to his lone backfield target, WR Brandon Marshall, and
exploiting that matchup repeatedly throughout a game. With some of the
strongest (and soon to be suspended) CBs in the league sure to be draping
Marshall all afternoon this Sunday at Soldier Field, expect the Bears to more
than a little struggle at accruing points. That said, CHIs defence is
averaging over 2+ turnovers per contest this season which should make for the
difference here.
|
GAME CHART
|
|||||||
6-5 (1-4
away)
|
min
|
@
|
GB
|
7-4 (4-1 home)
|
|||
avg DEF ppg
|
22.6
|
24.8
|
avg OFF ppg
|
||||
avg OFF ppg
|
22.5
|
22.3
|
avg DEF ppg
|
||||
pass DEF rank
|
14th
|
14th
|
pass OFF rank
|
||||
rush DEF rank
|
15th
|
23rd
|
rush OFF rank
|
||||
pass OFF rank
|
30th
|
22nd
|
pass DEF rank
|
||||
rush OFF rank
|
3rd
|
11th
|
rush DEF rank
|
||||
defensive formation
|
4-3
|
3-4
|
defensive formation
|
||||
WR
Harvin (DOUB)
|
key injuries
|
RB White (OUT)
LB Matthews (OUT)
TE Quarless (OUT)
S Woodson (OUT)
DE Wilson (OUT)
CB Shields (OUT)
LB Manning (DOUB)
|
|||||
FORECAST
|
|||||||
Cloudy
|
|||||||
STAT ALERT
|
|||||||
-
MIN QB
Ponder November stats: 3 TD, 2 INT, 71.8 QB rating
|
|||||||
ANALYST INSIGHT
|
|||||||
A makeshift offensive line has GB QB Aaron
Rodgers chomping on turf too often and Minnesota has the personnel to
continue the onslaught. Look for lots of MIN RB Adrian Peterson and a controlled
tempo, keeping it close – R. THE HANDLE
|
|||||||
FINAL PREDICTION
|
|||||||
GB
|
SU
|
vs
SPR
|
MIN (+9.0)
|
||||
It’s hard to comprehend why oddmakers have set a near TD + FGM spread
in this contest considering the growing number of significant injuries GBay
currently sports and the level of football aptitude their visiting division
foe possesses. True, Vikes QB Christian Ponder (with WR Harvin out of the
lineup) has lost the lustre he had accrued over the course of early part of
the season. That said, MIN still remains above the .500 mark 13 weeks into
the season and is far from a league-wide pushover. GB QB Rodgers’ O-Line has
allowed for the second most sacks in the NFL to date and, with MIN DE Allen
sure to be psyched at the opportunity to layout an elite opposition QB,
expect the Vikings to hammer back at the Pack this Sunday at Lambeau Field.
|
GAME CHART
|
|||||||
7-4 (2-3
away)
|
ind
|
@
|
DET
|
4-7 (2-3 home)
|
|||
avg DEF ppg
|
24.8
|
24.3
|
avg OFF ppg
|
||||
avg OFF ppg
|
20.9
|
25.5
|
avg DEF ppg
|
||||
pass DEF rank
|
19th
|
1st
|
pass OFF rank
|
||||
rush DEF rank
|
20th
|
24th
|
rush OFF rank
|
||||
pass OFF rank
|
7th
|
12th
|
pass DEF rank
|
||||
rush OFF rank
|
17th
|
21st
|
rush DEF rank
|
||||
defensive formation
|
3-4
|
4-3
|
defensive formation
|
||||
S
Zbikowski (OUT)
|
key injuries
|
none
|
|||||
FORECAST
|
|||||||
N/A
|
|||||||
STAT ALERT
|
|||||||
-
IND
defence has allowed 20-pts or less in 4 of their last 5 outings
-
IND
QB Luck’s QB rating drops 20-pts when outside Lucas Oil Stadium; has a 65.4
passer rating, 4 TD, 10 INT in road games this season
|
|||||||
ANALYST INSIGHT
|
|||||||
With 10 days rest and the possibility of getting
swept in a three-game home stand, I’m confident Detroit can get up off the
canvas with a solid showing here – R. THE HANDLE
DET QB Matthew Stafford will
find WR Calvin Johnson for big plays often in this contest and the Lions will
keep their minuscule playoff hopes alive, at least for one more
game – J. REED
DET QB Matthew Stafford will pick apart the
Colts' secondary at home – V. IYER
DET WR Calvin Johnson
will have a huge day against a weak secondary – M.D. SMITH
DET has got the horses to hold off a Colts team
that has yet to learn how to win away from Indy consistently – M. FLORIO
The Lions’ season is essentially over while the
Colts can seriously exploit their defence – D. BILICKI
|
|||||||
FINAL PREDICTION
|
|||||||
DET
|
SU
|
vs
SPR
|
IND (+6.0)
|
||||
It’s not so much that Lions own a better offence, more
experienced parts or the fact they hold home field advantage in this contest
that will safeguard them a win this Sunday. The difference maker in this matchup
will be the play of IND rookie QB Andrew Luck. Luck has played above and
beyond what should expected of a number one draft pick, having transformed
his club from a two-win team a season prior to a squad that currently sits three
games above the .500 mark entering week 13 of the 2012-13 NFL season. As
numbers go, road contests have been particularly daunting for Luck this
season, the youngster QB having already thrown 10 INTs in visitor stadiums to
date. That being said, the antsy DET secondary has been on the decline for a
few weeks now and, mired in the lower end of the league with respect to
defensive INTs, is likely to gamble a little too heavy on wideout routes this
afternoon lending to a backdoor Colts cover.
|
|||||||
PROPS CHART-PLAYERS
|
|||||||||||
|
|
||||||||||
|
Pro*Line
#
|
avg home
|
avg road
|
prediction
|
QB
|
prediction
|
avg road
|
avg home
|
Pro*Line
#
|
|
|
Luck
|
23.5
|
23.2
|
23.2
|
UNDER
|
|
OVER
|
25.3
|
28.8
|
25.5
|
Stafford
|
|
|
Pro*Line
#
|
avg home
|
avg road
|
prediction
|
RB
|
prediction
|
avg road
|
avg home
|
Pro*Line
#
|
|
|
N/A
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
69.2
|
47.0
|
|
Leshoure
|
|
|
Pro*Line
#
|
avg home
|
avg road
|
prediction
|
WR
|
prediction
|
avg road
|
avg home
|
Pro*Line
#
|
|
|
Wayne
|
6.5
|
8.0
|
7.2
|
OVER
|
|
|
7.6
|
5.4
|
6.5
|
Johnson
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROPS
CHART-FIELD
|
|||||||
|
|
||||||
season
total
|
avg game
|
prediction
|
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
|
Prediction
|
avg game
|
season
total
|
|
26
|
2.4
|
OVER
|
4.5
|
OVER
|
2.3
|
25
|
|
season
total
|
avg game
|
prediction
|
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg game
|
season
total
|
|
8
|
0.7
|
OVER
|
1.5
|
OVER
|
0.8
|
9
|
|
season
total
40+
|
avg game
40+
|
prediction
|
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg game
40+
|
season
total
40+
|
|
5
|
0.5
|
|
49.5
|
|
0.7
|
8
|
|
season
total
20+
|
avg game
20+
|
prediction
|
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg game
20+
|
season
total
20+
|
|
3
|
0.3
|
UNDER
|
22.5
|
UNDER
|
0.2
|
2
|
|
season
total
PTR yds
|
avg yds
PTR
|
prediction
|
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg yds
PTR
|
season
total
PTR yds
|
|
285
|
13.6
|
OVER
|
17.5
|
OVER
|
12.0
|
240
|
|
season
total
40-49+
|
season
total
50+
|
prediction
|
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
season
total
50+
|
season
total
40-49+
|
|
7-8
|
3-6
|
OVER
|
45.5
|
OVER
|
1-1
|
12-15
|
|
avg
quarter
|
avg half
|
prediction
|
SCORING
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg half
|
avg
quarter
|
|
5.3
|
10.5
|
|
1ST-25.5/2ND-25.5
|
|
12.2
|
6.1
|
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