Saturday, 22 December 2012

SATURDAY (8PM): atl @ DET


GAME CHART
12-2 (5-2 away)
atl
@
DET
4-10 (2-4 home)
avg DEF ppg
18.5
23.6
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
26.5
27.1
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
17th
1st
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
24th
23rd
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
5th
11th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
28th
18th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
4-3
4-3
defensive formation
none
key injuries
TE Pettigrew (DOUB)
FORECAST
N/A
STAT ALERT
-          DET only team in NFL to avg over 300+ yds in offence per game this season
-          4 of last 5 DET losses have been by a TD or less
-          DET has lost 6 straight games; defence allowing an avg of 32 ppg over that stretch
-          DET RB Leshoure has 4 TDs in his past 5 outings
ANALYST INSIGHT
Expect another close one here – R. THE HANDLE

Expect DET QB Matthew Stafford to throw a lot while trying to play catch-up against ATL QB Matt Ryan – V. IYER
FINAL PREDICTION
ATL
SU
vs SPR
DET (+5.5)
While the DET offence has been doing its part of late to keep their club within striking distance of opponents (4 of their last 5 outings having been settled by a TD or less), the amount of points the club’s defence is surrendering to adversaries during their now six-game losing streak (32 ppg) has proven too insurmountable a number to overcome even for the league’s top-ranked passing offence. ATL, having already clinched NFC South, need a win in this spot to ensure a first-round bye in the playoffs. However, as they have yet to beat a club by more than four points since week 8 of the season when traveling and fail to feature a significant advantage in any aspect when squared up against the Lions, expect a close game in the Motor City this weekend.









Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
QB
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Ryan
24.5
29.0
OVER

OVER
28.5
26.5
Stafford

Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
RB
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

Turner
60.5
40.0
UNDER


49.0

Leshoure

Pro*Line #
avg @road
prediction
WR
prediction
avg @home
Pro*Line #

White

5.6



6.7

Johnson
Jones
5.5
5.9
UNDER







avg sacks
prediction
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg sacks
1.8
UNDER
4.5
UNDER
2.0
season total
prediction
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
4

1.5

11
season total
40+
prediction
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
40+
9
OVER
51.5
OVER
9
season total
20+
prediction
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
20+
6
OVER
25.5
OVER
4
season total
50+
season total
40-49
prediction
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
40-49
season total
50+
4-4
10-13
OVER
45.5
OVER
15-18
2-3
avg yds PTR
prediction
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg yds PTR
9.0

16.5

10.8
avg half
prediction
1ST HALF
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
13.3

25.5

11.8
avg half
prediction
2ND HALF
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half

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