|
GAME
CHART
|
|||||||
|
11-1
(6-0 away)
|
hou
|
@
|
NE
|
9-3 (4-1 home)
|
|||
|
avg DEF ppg
|
18.4
|
35.8
|
avg OFF ppg
|
||||
|
avg OFF ppg
|
29.2
|
21.7
|
avg DEF ppg
|
||||
|
pass DEF rank
|
19th
|
6th
|
pass OFF rank
|
||||
|
rush DEF rank
|
2nd
|
8th
|
rush OFF rank
|
||||
|
pass OFF rank
|
10th
|
29th
|
pass DEF rank
|
||||
|
rush OFF rank
|
6th
|
9th
|
rush DEF rank
|
||||
|
defensive formation
|
3-4
|
4-3
|
defensive formation
|
||||
|
LB
Reed (OUT)
T
Newton (OUT)
|
key injuries
|
TE Gronkowski (OUT)
|
|||||
|
FORECAST
|
|||||||
|
Cloudy with a chance of showers
|
|||||||
|
STAT ALERT
|
|||||||
|
-
HOU
DE Watt has 15.5 sacks and 15 batted passes in 12 games this season
-
NE QB
Brady has 15 TD, 1 INT in his past 6 outings
|
|||||||
|
ANALYST INSIGHT
|
|||||||
|
New England's OL is a concern but not enough to
deter me – R. THE HANDLE
The Patriots are a better football team right now
and they’re going to take this one – M.D. SMITH
At home in prime time, it’s hard to go against
Brady in a marquee matchup – V. IYER
Given the Texans' recent struggles to defend
against the pass, I'm convinced NE QB Tom Brady will have a big
game. And given the way the Patriots have been able to defend against the run
in 2012, I'm expecting HOU RB Arian Foster to be held mostly in check—enough
for the Patriots to secure the victory
|
|||||||
|
FINAL PREDICTION
|
|||||||
|
NE
|
SU
|
vs
SPR
|
NE (-3.5)
|
||||
|
The Houston Texans will lose this ball game. NE have been a near
unstoppable force before their Foxborough faithful ever since QB Tom Brady
took the field for a badly injured QB Drew Bledsoe 12 seasons ago. The Texans
possess the weapons to give the Patriots a run for their money in this spot.
However, away from the friendly, warm dome confines of Reliant Stadium,
sporting a defence that has allowed an average of 30+ points to 2 of their
last 3 opponents and staring down a multiple Super Bowl winning squad on the
most widely watched football game of the week, the writing is on the wall for
the second loss of the season for HOU this MNF.
|
|||||||
|
PROPS CHART-PLAYERS
|
|||||||||||
|
|
|
||||||||||
|
|
Pro*Line
#
|
avg home
|
avg road
|
prediction
|
QB
|
prediction
|
avg road
|
avg home
|
Pro*Line
#
|
|
|
|
Schaub
|
23.5
|
24.2
|
20.2
|
UNDER
|
|
UNDER
|
24.9
|
24.8
|
25.5
|
Brady
|
|
|
|
Pro*Line
#
|
avg home
|
avg road
|
prediction
|
RB
|
prediction
|
avg road
|
avg home
|
Pro*Line
#
|
|
|
|
Foster
|
94.5
|
82.2
|
101.5
|
UNDER
|
|
|
85.3
|
82.6
|
|
Ridley
|
|
|
|
Pro*Line
#
|
avg home
|
avg road
|
prediction
|
WR
|
prediction
|
avg road
|
avg home
|
Pro*Line
#
|
|
|
|
Johnson
|
|
8.3
|
4.0
|
|
|
OVER
|
7.9
|
7.4
|
6.5
|
Welker
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROPS
CHART-FIELD
|
|||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
season
total
|
avg game
|
prediction
|
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
|
Prediction
|
avg game
|
season
total
|
|
|
15
|
1.3
|
UNDER
|
4.5
|
UNDER
|
1.6
|
19
|
|
|
season
total
|
avg game
|
prediction
|
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg game
|
season
total
|
|
|
2
|
0.2
|
UNDER
|
1.5
|
UNDER
|
0.4
|
5
|
|
|
season
total
40+
|
avg game
40+
|
prediction
|
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg game
40+
|
season
total
40+
|
|
|
7
|
0.6
|
|
48.5
|
|
0.4
|
5
|
|
|
season
total
20+
|
avg game
20+
|
prediction
|
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg game
20+
|
season
total
20+
|
|
|
10
|
0.8
|
OVER
|
26.5
|
OVER
|
0.8
|
10
|
|
|
season
total
PTR yds
|
avg yds
PTR
|
prediction
|
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg yds
PTR
|
season
total
PTR yds
|
|
|
345
|
9.9
|
UNDER
|
16.5
|
UNDER
|
6.8
|
88
|
|
|
season total
40-49+
|
season
total
50+
|
prediction
|
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
season
total
50+
|
season
total
40-49+
|
|
|
6-8
|
2-5
|
|
45.5
|
|
2-2
|
7-11
|
|
|
avg
quarter
|
avg half
|
prediction
|
SCORING
(PRO*LINE #)
|
prediction
|
avg half
|
avg
quarter
|
|
|
7.3
|
14.6
|
|
1ST-25.5/2ND-25.5
|
|
17.9
|
9.0
|
|
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