Monday, 10 December 2012

MONDAY (NITE): hou @ NE


 GAME CHART
11-1 (6-0 away)
hou
@
NE
9-3 (4-1 home)
avg DEF ppg
18.4
35.8
avg OFF ppg
avg OFF ppg
29.2
21.7
avg DEF ppg
pass DEF rank
19th
6th
pass OFF rank
rush DEF rank
2nd
8th
rush OFF rank
pass OFF rank
10th
29th
pass DEF rank
rush OFF rank
6th
9th
rush DEF rank
defensive formation
3-4
4-3
defensive formation
LB Reed (OUT)
T Newton (OUT)
key injuries
TE Gronkowski (OUT)
FORECAST
Cloudy with a chance of showers
STAT ALERT
-          HOU DE Watt has 15.5 sacks and 15 batted passes in 12 games this season
-          NE QB Brady has 15 TD, 1 INT in his past 6 outings
ANALYST INSIGHT
New England's OL is a concern but not enough to deter me – R. THE HANDLE

The Patriots are a better football team right now and they’re going to take this one – M.D. SMITH

At home in prime time, it’s hard to go against Brady in a marquee matchup – V. IYER

Given the Texans' recent struggles to defend against the pass, I'm convinced NE QB Tom Brady will have a big game. And given the way the Patriots have been able to defend against the run in 2012, I'm expecting HOU RB Arian Foster to be held mostly in check—enough for the Patriots to secure the victory
FINAL PREDICTION
NE
SU
vs SPR
NE (-3.5)
The Houston Texans will lose this ball game. NE have been a near unstoppable force before their Foxborough faithful ever since QB Tom Brady took the field for a badly injured QB Drew Bledsoe 12 seasons ago. The Texans possess the weapons to give the Patriots a run for their money in this spot. However, away from the friendly, warm dome confines of Reliant Stadium, sporting a defence that has allowed an average of 30+ points to 2 of their last 3 opponents and staring down a multiple Super Bowl winning squad on the most widely watched football game of the week, the writing is on the wall for the second loss of the season for HOU this MNF.








PROPS CHART-PLAYERS



Pro*Line #
avg home
avg road
prediction
QB
prediction
avg road
avg home
Pro*Line #

Schaub
23.5
24.2
20.2
UNDER

UNDER
24.9
24.8
25.5
Brady

Pro*Line #
avg home
avg road
prediction
RB
prediction
avg road
avg home
Pro*Line #

Foster
94.5
82.2
101.5
UNDER


85.3
82.6

Ridley

Pro*Line #
avg home
avg road
prediction
WR
prediction
avg road
avg home
Pro*Line #

Johnson

8.3
4.0


OVER
7.9
7.4
6.5
Welker























PROPS CHART-FIELD


season total
avg game
prediction
SACKS
(PRO*LINE #)
Prediction
avg game
season total
15
1.3
UNDER
4.5
UNDER
1.6
19
season total
avg game
prediction
FUMBLES
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg game
season total
2
0.2
UNDER
1.5
UNDER
0.4
5
season total
40+
avg game
40+
prediction
LONG PASS
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg game
40+
season total
40+
7
0.6

48.5

0.4
5
season total
20+
avg game
20+
prediction
LONG RUSH
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg game
20+
season total
20+
10
0.8
OVER
26.5
OVER
0.8
10
season total
PTR yds
avg yds PTR

prediction
LONG PTR
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg yds PTR

season total
PTR yds
345
9.9
UNDER
16.5
UNDER
6.8
88
season total
40-49+
season total
50+
prediction
LONG FGM
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
season total
50+
season total
40-49+
6-8
2-5

45.5

2-2
7-11
avg quarter
avg half
prediction
SCORING
(PRO*LINE #)
prediction
avg half
avg quarter
7.3
14.6

1ST-25.5/2ND-25.5

17.9
9.0

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